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Primeiro Tempo previsões e probabilidades

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LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

99%

Nithya Raman

$476K Vol.

$131K today

$240K Liq.

7

Ends há 7 dias

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?

99%

Karen Bass

$791K Vol.

$285K Liq.

2

Ends há 7 dias

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

73%

Anthropic

$131K Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

2

Ends em mais de 1 ano

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

98%

Xavier Becerra

$848K Vol.

$508K Liq.

6

Ends há 7 dias

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

64%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$4M Vol.

$525K Liq.

41

Ends em 4 meses

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

1%

$316K Vol.

$104K Liq.

4

Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?

Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?

93%

$60

$61.8K Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

2

Ends em 7 meses

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

100%

SpaceX

$84.0K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

1

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

99%

40-45%

$29.8K Vol.

$41.9K Liq.

3

Ends há 9 dias

Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

100%

<10%

$14.6K Vol.

$34.9K Liq.

2

Ends há 9 dias

Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?

Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?

54%

$1,000

$74.6K Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

3

Ends em 7 meses

World Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed?

World Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed?

75%

Made

$708 Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (June 8)

What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (June 8)

91%

Probably

$2.1K Vol.

$571 Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

44%

Renan Santos

$319K Vol.

$267K Liq.

47

Ends em 4 meses

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

15%

$69.3K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

31

Ends em 4 meses

Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

99%

40-45%

$13.4K Vol.

$58.3K Liq.

Ends há 9 dias

100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?

100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?

10%

$2.4K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends em 21 dias

South Carolina Governor Republican Primary: First Round Winner

South Carolina Governor Republican Primary: First Round Winner

49%

Pamela Evette

$42 Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 hora

South Carolina Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory

South Carolina Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory

42%

Graham 10–20%

$21 Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 21 horas

First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?

First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?

1%

$55.8K Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

Ends há 7 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Primeiro Tempo.

Polymarket currently hosts 185 active markets for Primeiro Tempo that lets you track or trade on predictions like “LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 64% chance to Flávio Bolsonaro. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Primeiro Tempo predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.