Geopolitical supply risks tied to ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions and disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz remain the dominant driver of WTI crude prices near $86–87 per barrel as of late August 2026. Recent EIA data showed U.S. commercial inventories rising modestly to 428.8 million barrels, yet prices held firm amid a backwardated futures curve and reduced Middle East flows that the agency estimates at roughly 0.6 million barrels per day persisting through year-end. Traders are monitoring weekly inventory releases, any diplomatic signals on Hormuz transits, and global demand indicators for the week of August 24, with the EIA projecting Brent averaging around $85 for Q3 under current assumptions. Market-implied odds reflect a risk premium outweighing softer inventory and seasonal demand signals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoO que o WTI Crude Oil (WTI) atingirá na Semana de 24 de agosto de 2026?
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
95%
↑ US$110
97%
↑ US$105
50%
↑ $100
48%
↑ US$95
50%
↑ US$90
58%
↓ $85
93%
↓ $80
51%
↓ $75
48%
↓ US$ 70
50%
↓ $65
49%
↓ $60
95%
↓ $55
48%
$664 Vol.
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
95%
↑ US$110
97%
↑ US$105
50%
↑ $100
48%
↑ US$95
50%
↑ US$90
58%
↓ $85
93%
↓ $80
51%
↓ $75
48%
↓ US$ 70
50%
↓ $65
49%
↓ $60
95%
↓ $55
48%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Fonte de resolução
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical supply risks tied to ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions and disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz remain the dominant driver of WTI crude prices near $86–87 per barrel as of late August 2026. Recent EIA data showed U.S. commercial inventories rising modestly to 428.8 million barrels, yet prices held firm amid a backwardated futures curve and reduced Middle East flows that the agency estimates at roughly 0.6 million barrels per day persisting through year-end. Traders are monitoring weekly inventory releases, any diplomatic signals on Hormuz transits, and global demand indicators for the week of August 24, with the EIA projecting Brent averaging around $85 for Q3 under current assumptions. Market-implied odds reflect a risk premium outweighing softer inventory and seasonal demand signals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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