Stable U.S.-Colombia diplomatic and economic ties, including longstanding trade agreements and joint counter-narcotics cooperation, underpin the near-certain trader consensus against any invasion in 2026. No escalatory military deployments, border tensions, or policy shifts from either government have emerged in recent months, and historical patterns show the United States relying on sanctions, aid, and multilateral diplomacy rather than direct intervention in the region. With resolution tied to calendar-year events, only a dramatic unforeseen development—such as a sudden breakdown in relations or major security crisis—could realistically alter the current implied probability reflected in market pricing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$147,381 Vol.
$147,381 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
$147,381 Vol.
$147,381 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Stable U.S.-Colombia diplomatic and economic ties, including longstanding trade agreements and joint counter-narcotics cooperation, underpin the near-certain trader consensus against any invasion in 2026. No escalatory military deployments, border tensions, or policy shifts from either government have emerged in recent months, and historical patterns show the United States relying on sanctions, aid, and multilateral diplomacy rather than direct intervention in the region. With resolution tied to calendar-year events, only a dramatic unforeseen development—such as a sudden breakdown in relations or major security crisis—could realistically alter the current implied probability reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
Volume
$147,381Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Stable U.S.-Colombia diplomatic and economic ties, including longstanding trade agreements and joint counter-narcotics cooperation, underpin the near-certain trader consensus against any invasion in 2026. No escalatory military deployments, border tensions, or policy shifts from either government have emerged in recent months, and historical patterns show the United States relying on sanctions, aid, and multilateral diplomacy rather than direct intervention in the region. With resolution tied to calendar-year events, only a dramatic unforeseen development—such as a sudden breakdown in relations or major security crisis—could realistically alter the current implied probability reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$147,381Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Stable U.S.-Colombia diplomatic and economic ties, including longstanding trade agreements and joint counter-narcotics cooperation, underpin the near-certain trader consensus against any invasion in 2026. No escalatory military deployments, border tensions, or policy shifts from either government have emerged in recent months, and historical patterns show the United States relying on sanctions, aid, and multilateral diplomacy rather than direct intervention in the region. With resolution tied to calendar-year events, only a dramatic unforeseen development—such as a sudden breakdown in relations or major security crisis—could realistically alter the current implied probability reflected in market pricing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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