Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz tied to U.S.-Iran developments, remain the dominant driver of elevated U.S. gasoline prices near $4.10–$4.15 per gallon as of early September 2026. These risks have supported crude oil benchmarks above $80 per barrel while tightening global supply flows, even as record U.S. production and high refinery utilization provide some offset. Domestic inventories sit below five-year averages amid robust export demand and prior summer-blend requirements, amplifying sensitivity to any further crude spikes or outages. Seasonal demand easing post-Labor Day could exert downward pressure, but trader-implied odds reflect ongoing uncertainty around inventory draws, OPEC+ signals, and potential last-minute supply shocks before month-end resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNOVO
30 set 2026
↑ $4.50
50%
↑ $4.40
53%
↑ $4.30
57%
↑ $4.20
73%
↓ $4.00
53%
↓ $3.90
15%
↓ $3.70
15%
↓ $3.50
14%
$243 Vol.
↑ $4.50
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $4.40
$0 Vol.
53%
↑ $4.30
$0 Vol.
57%
↑ $4.20
$243 Vol.
73%
↓ $4.00
$0 Vol.
53%
↓ $3.90
$0 Vol.
15%
↓ $3.70
$0 Vol.
15%
↓ $3.50
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz tied to U.S.-Iran developments, remain the dominant driver of elevated U.S. gasoline prices near $4.10–$4.15 per gallon as of early September 2026. These risks have supported crude oil benchmarks above $80 per barrel while tightening global supply flows, even as record U.S. production and high refinery utilization provide some offset. Domestic inventories sit below five-year averages amid robust export demand and prior summer-blend requirements, amplifying sensitivity to any further crude spikes or outages. Seasonal demand easing post-Labor Day could exert downward pressure, but trader-implied odds reflect ongoing uncertainty around inventory draws, OPEC+ signals, and potential last-minute supply shocks before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Volume
$243Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz tied to U.S.-Iran developments, remain the dominant driver of elevated U.S. gasoline prices near $4.10–$4.15 per gallon as of early September 2026. These risks have supported crude oil benchmarks above $80 per barrel while tightening global supply flows, even as record U.S. production and high refinery utilization provide some offset. Domestic inventories sit below five-year averages amid robust export demand and prior summer-blend requirements, amplifying sensitivity to any further crude spikes or outages. Seasonal demand easing post-Labor Day could exert downward pressure, but trader-implied odds reflect ongoing uncertainty around inventory draws, OPEC+ signals, and potential last-minute supply shocks before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$243Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz tied to U.S.-Iran developments, remain the dominant driver of elevated U.S. gasoline prices near $4.10–$4.15 per gallon as of early September 2026. These risks have supported crude oil benchmarks above $80 per barrel while tightening global supply flows, even as record U.S. production and high refinery utilization provide some offset. Domestic inventories sit below five-year averages amid robust export demand and prior summer-blend requirements, amplifying sensitivity to any further crude spikes or outages. Seasonal demand easing post-Labor Day could exert downward pressure, but trader-implied odds reflect ongoing uncertainty around inventory draws, OPEC+ signals, and potential last-minute supply shocks before month-end resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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