Elevated crude oil prices near $80–87 per barrel, driven by ongoing Strait of Hormuz disruptions and refinery outages, continue to anchor U.S. regular gasoline averages around $4.08–$4.10 per gallon as of late August 2026. Tight inventories, running 6–7% below five-year seasonal norms, and sustained summer driving demand have limited downside, with the national average on pace for a record August. Trader sentiment on near-term thresholds reflects these supply pressures offset by expectations for seasonal demand softening after Labor Day, possible early shifts to winter-blend gasoline, and EIA forecasts showing Q3 2026 retail prices averaging near $3.80. Key near-term catalysts include weekly inventory data, crude volatility, and any resolution signals on Middle East shipping routes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNOVO
30 set 2026
↑ $4.50
42%
↑ $4.40
38%
↑ $4.30
44%
↑ $4.20
56%
↓ $4.00
54%
↓ $3.90
47%
↓ $3.70
39%
↓ $3.50
33%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $4.50
$0 Vol.
42%
↑ $4.40
$0 Vol.
38%
↑ $4.30
$0 Vol.
44%
↑ $4.20
$0 Vol.
56%
↓ $4.00
$0 Vol.
54%
↓ $3.90
$0 Vol.
47%
↓ $3.70
$0 Vol.
39%
↓ $3.50
$0 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Elevated crude oil prices near $80–87 per barrel, driven by ongoing Strait of Hormuz disruptions and refinery outages, continue to anchor U.S. regular gasoline averages around $4.08–$4.10 per gallon as of late August 2026. Tight inventories, running 6–7% below five-year seasonal norms, and sustained summer driving demand have limited downside, with the national average on pace for a record August. Trader sentiment on near-term thresholds reflects these supply pressures offset by expectations for seasonal demand softening after Labor Day, possible early shifts to winter-blend gasoline, and EIA forecasts showing Q3 2026 retail prices averaging near $3.80. Key near-term catalysts include weekly inventory data, crude volatility, and any resolution signals on Middle East shipping routes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Elevated crude oil prices near $80–87 per barrel, driven by ongoing Strait of Hormuz disruptions and refinery outages, continue to anchor U.S. regular gasoline averages around $4.08–$4.10 per gallon as of late August 2026. Tight inventories, running 6–7% below five-year seasonal norms, and sustained summer driving demand have limited downside, with the national average on pace for a record August. Trader sentiment on near-term thresholds reflects these supply pressures offset by expectations for seasonal demand softening after Labor Day, possible early shifts to winter-blend gasoline, and EIA forecasts showing Q3 2026 retail prices averaging near $3.80. Key near-term catalysts include weekly inventory data, crude volatility, and any resolution signals on Middle East shipping routes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$0Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Elevated crude oil prices near $80–87 per barrel, driven by ongoing Strait of Hormuz disruptions and refinery outages, continue to anchor U.S. regular gasoline averages around $4.08–$4.10 per gallon as of late August 2026. Tight inventories, running 6–7% below five-year seasonal norms, and sustained summer driving demand have limited downside, with the national average on pace for a record August. Trader sentiment on near-term thresholds reflects these supply pressures offset by expectations for seasonal demand softening after Labor Day, possible early shifts to winter-blend gasoline, and EIA forecasts showing Q3 2026 retail prices averaging near $3.80. Key near-term catalysts include weekly inventory data, crude volatility, and any resolution signals on Middle East shipping routes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions