Recent August 2026 outages—multiple incidents on the 24th and 28th involving login failures, elevated errors across Opus and Sonnet models, and upstream cloud provider disruptions—have kept Claude's infrastructure under scrutiny, pushing trader consensus toward 8-13 downtime days in September. Anthropic's postmortems on routing and load-balancing bugs, combined with rapid scaling for agentic tools like Claude Code and Cowork, highlight ongoing capacity challenges amid strong demand growth. Newer releases such as Sonnet 5 and Opus 5 add competitive pressure against OpenAI and Google models, where reliability serves as a key differentiator, yet unresolved dependencies on hyperscalers create swing risk for fewer or more outage days depending on fix deployment speed and peak usage patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoClaude vai descer em __ dias em setembro?
Claude vai descer em __ dias em setembro?
8-10 37%
11-13 33%
5-7 21%
14+ 8%
NOVO
NOVO
30 set 2026
<5
4%
5-7
21%
8-10
37%
11-13
33%
14+
8%
8-10 37%
11-13 33%
5-7 21%
14+ 8%
NOVO
NOVO
30 set 2026
<5
$179 Vol.
4%
5-7
$5 Vol.
21%
8-10
$105 Vol.
37%
11-13
$213 Vol.
33%
14+
$93 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent August 2026 outages—multiple incidents on the 24th and 28th involving login failures, elevated errors across Opus and Sonnet models, and upstream cloud provider disruptions—have kept Claude's infrastructure under scrutiny, pushing trader consensus toward 8-13 downtime days in September. Anthropic's postmortems on routing and load-balancing bugs, combined with rapid scaling for agentic tools like Claude Code and Cowork, highlight ongoing capacity challenges amid strong demand growth. Newer releases such as Sonnet 5 and Opus 5 add competitive pressure against OpenAI and Google models, where reliability serves as a key differentiator, yet unresolved dependencies on hyperscalers create swing risk for fewer or more outage days depending on fix deployment speed and peak usage patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volume
$596Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent August 2026 outages—multiple incidents on the 24th and 28th involving login failures, elevated errors across Opus and Sonnet models, and upstream cloud provider disruptions—have kept Claude's infrastructure under scrutiny, pushing trader consensus toward 8-13 downtime days in September. Anthropic's postmortems on routing and load-balancing bugs, combined with rapid scaling for agentic tools like Claude Code and Cowork, highlight ongoing capacity challenges amid strong demand growth. Newer releases such as Sonnet 5 and Opus 5 add competitive pressure against OpenAI and Google models, where reliability serves as a key differentiator, yet unresolved dependencies on hyperscalers create swing risk for fewer or more outage days depending on fix deployment speed and peak usage patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Volume
$596Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August 2026 outages—multiple incidents on the 24th and 28th involving login failures, elevated errors across Opus and Sonnet models, and upstream cloud provider disruptions—have kept Claude's infrastructure under scrutiny, pushing trader consensus toward 8-13 downtime days in September. Anthropic's postmortems on routing and load-balancing bugs, combined with rapid scaling for agentic tools like Claude Code and Cowork, highlight ongoing capacity challenges amid strong demand growth. Newer releases such as Sonnet 5 and Opus 5 add competitive pressure against OpenAI and Google models, where reliability serves as a key differentiator, yet unresolved dependencies on hyperscalers create swing risk for fewer or more outage days depending on fix deployment speed and peak usage patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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