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Quem será o campeão dos Pesos-Pesados do UFC no final de 2026?

icon for Quem será o campeão dos Pesos-Pesados do UFC no final de 2026?
Desporto·Mma

Quem será o campeão dos Pesos-Pesados do UFC no final de 2026?

Tom Aspinall 63%

Ciryl Gane 31%

Josh Hokit 2.3%

Alexander Volkov 2.1%

Polymarket

$333,132 Vol.

Tom Aspinall 63%

Ciryl Gane 31%

Josh Hokit 2.3%

Alexander Volkov 2.1%

Polymarket

$333,132 Vol.

Tom Aspinall

$7,006 Vol.

63%

Ciryl Gane

$5,251 Vol.

31%

Josh Hokit

$459 Vol.

2%

Alexander Volkov

$27,242 Vol.

2%

Sergei Pavlovich

$398 Vol.

1%

Serghei Spivac

$438 Vol.

1%

Curtis Blaydes

$66,566 Vol.

1%

Derrick Lewis

$9,471 Vol.

<1%

Tyrell Fortune

$258 Vol.

<1%

Jailton Almeida

$391 Vol.

<1%

Rizvan Kuniev

$299 Vol.

<1%

Waldo Cortes Acosta

$48,174 Vol.

<1%

Ante Delija

$500 Vol.

<1%

Marcin Tybura

$166,678 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Tom Aspinall holds undisputed UFC heavyweight champion status after Jon Jones stepped away, but an eye injury from late 2025 has kept him out since undergoing surgery. His recovery has advanced steadily into mid-2026, with clearance for contact training expected soon, supporting the market's view of him as the frontrunner to retain the belt through year-end. Ciryl Gane captured interim title contention via a strong run that included a notable win over Alex Pereira, creating the likely unification matchup targeted for September or later. This positions Gane as the primary challenger with realistic path to the crown if he prevails in the rematch. Lower-ranked options like Alexander Volkov, Sergei Pavlovich, and others trail due to limited recent momentum or positioning in the division's title picture.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$333,132
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Tom Aspinall holds undisputed UFC heavyweight champion status after Jon Jones stepped away, but an eye injury from late 2025 has kept him out since undergoing surgery. His recovery has advanced steadily into mid-2026, with clearance for contact training expected soon, supporting the market's view of him as the frontrunner to retain the belt through year-end. Ciryl Gane captured interim title contention via a strong run that included a notable win over Alex Pereira, creating the likely unification matchup targeted for September or later. This positions Gane as the primary challenger with realistic path to the crown if he prevails in the rematch. Lower-ranked options like Alexander Volkov, Sergei Pavlovich, and others trail due to limited recent momentum or positioning in the division's title picture.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$333,132
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem será o campeão dos Pesos-Pesados do UFC no final de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tom Aspinall" at 63%, followed by "Ciryl Gane" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem será o campeão dos Pesos-Pesados do UFC no final de 2026?" has generated $333.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem será o campeão dos Pesos-Pesados do UFC no final de 2026?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem será o campeão dos Pesos-Pesados do UFC no final de 2026?" is "Tom Aspinall" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ciryl Gane" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem será o campeão dos Pesos-Pesados do UFC no final de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.