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Desporto·Mma

UFC: Ilia Topuria Próxima Luta

icon for UFC: Ilia Topuria Próxima Luta
Desporto·Mma

UFC: Ilia Topuria Próxima Luta

Benoit Saint Denis 49%

Arman Tsarukyan 48%

Paddy Pimblett 0

Polymarket
NOVO

Benoit Saint Denis 49%

Arman Tsarukyan 48%

Paddy Pimblett 0

Polymarket
NOVO

Benoit Saint Denis

$25 Vol.

49%

Arman Tsarukyan

$25 Vol.

48%

Paddy Pimblett

$50 Vol.

52%

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Ilia Topuria is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Ilia Topuria is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by June 16, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Ilia Topuria’s potential lightweight return after his June 2026 loss to Justin Gaethje remains unsettled, with no official booking and recovery timelines pointing toward a spring 2026 date. This uncertainty fuels tight trader pricing around 48–52% for leading names like Paddy Pimblett, Benoit Saint Denis, and Arman Tsarukyan. Pimblett’s edge stems from longstanding personal rivalry and recent form, including his July co-main slot against Saint Denis, while Tsarukyan’s push for a veteran tune-up like Michael Chandler highlights alternative matchmaking paths. Multiple viable contenders, ongoing divisional shifts, and Topuria’s preference for high-profile bouts sustain the balanced implied probabilities across outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Ilia Topuria is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Ilia Topuria is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by June 16, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$100
Mercado Aberto
Jun 16, 2026, 10:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Ilia Topuria is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Ilia Topuria is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by June 16, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Ilia Topuria is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Ilia Topuria is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by June 16, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Ilia Topuria’s potential lightweight return after his June 2026 loss to Justin Gaethje remains unsettled, with no official booking and recovery timelines pointing toward a spring 2026 date. This uncertainty fuels tight trader pricing around 48–52% for leading names like Paddy Pimblett, Benoit Saint Denis, and Arman Tsarukyan. Pimblett’s edge stems from longstanding personal rivalry and recent form, including his July co-main slot against Saint Denis, while Tsarukyan’s push for a veteran tune-up like Michael Chandler highlights alternative matchmaking paths. Multiple viable contenders, ongoing divisional shifts, and Topuria’s preference for high-profile bouts sustain the balanced implied probabilities across outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Ilia Topuria is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Ilia Topuria is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by June 16, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$100
Mercado Aberto
Jun 16, 2026, 10:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Ilia Topuria is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Ilia Topuria is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by June 16, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"UFC: Ilia Topuria Próxima Luta" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Paddy Pimblett" at 52%, followed by "Benoit Saint Denis" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"UFC: Ilia Topuria Próxima Luta" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "UFC: Ilia Topuria Próxima Luta," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UFC: Ilia Topuria Próxima Luta" is "Paddy Pimblett" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Benoit Saint Denis" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UFC: Ilia Topuria Próxima Luta" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.