Recent trader positioning around San Francisco Metro median home values reflects balanced uncertainty driven by the interplay between AI-related wealth creation in the tech sector and elevated mortgage rates near 6%. Latest Zillow and Redfin data through May 2026 show typical values near $1.39 million and median sale prices around $1.7 million, with year-over-year gains of 7-16% in select segments amid low inventory and faster sales velocity. However, broader Bay Area figures near $1.17 million and mixed county-level trends highlight sensitivity to labor market softening and interest-rate path expectations. Key swing factors through September include upcoming FOMC communications, regional employment reports, and any shifts in housing supply or buyer demand from IPO activity. Market-implied odds near 50% across bins underscore the narrow range of plausible outcomes absent decisive new catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado< $1,176M 42%
$1,176M - $1,198M 30%
$1,220M - $1,242M 19%
$1,198M - $1,220M 15%
NOVO
NOVO
30 set 2026
< $1,176M
36%
$1,176M - $1,198M
30%
$1,198M - $1,220M
16%
$1,220M - $1,242M
19%
$1,242M - $1,264M
6%
$1.264M - $1.284M
2%
US$ 1,284M+
4%
< $1,176M 42%
$1,176M - $1,198M 30%
$1,220M - $1,242M 19%
$1,198M - $1,220M 15%
NOVO
NOVO
30 set 2026
< $1,176M
$1,274 Vol.
36%
$1,176M - $1,198M
$1,117 Vol.
30%
$1,198M - $1,220M
$584 Vol.
16%
$1,220M - $1,242M
$759 Vol.
19%
$1,242M - $1,264M
$1,889 Vol.
6%
$1.264M - $1.284M
$427 Vol.
2%
US$ 1,284M+
$495 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)Recent trader positioning around San Francisco Metro median home values reflects balanced uncertainty driven by the interplay between AI-related wealth creation in the tech sector and elevated mortgage rates near 6%. Latest Zillow and Redfin data through May 2026 show typical values near $1.39 million and median sale prices around $1.7 million, with year-over-year gains of 7-16% in select segments amid low inventory and faster sales velocity. However, broader Bay Area figures near $1.17 million and mixed county-level trends highlight sensitivity to labor market softening and interest-rate path expectations. Key swing factors through September include upcoming FOMC communications, regional employment reports, and any shifts in housing supply or buyer demand from IPO activity. Market-implied odds near 50% across bins underscore the narrow range of plausible outcomes absent decisive new catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
Mercado Aberto: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volume
$6,545Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)Recent trader positioning around San Francisco Metro median home values reflects balanced uncertainty driven by the interplay between AI-related wealth creation in the tech sector and elevated mortgage rates near 6%. Latest Zillow and Redfin data through May 2026 show typical values near $1.39 million and median sale prices around $1.7 million, with year-over-year gains of 7-16% in select segments amid low inventory and faster sales velocity. However, broader Bay Area figures near $1.17 million and mixed county-level trends highlight sensitivity to labor market softening and interest-rate path expectations. Key swing factors through September include upcoming FOMC communications, regional employment reports, and any shifts in housing supply or buyer demand from IPO activity. Market-implied odds near 50% across bins underscore the narrow range of plausible outcomes absent decisive new catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
Volume
$6,545Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent trader positioning around San Francisco Metro median home values reflects balanced uncertainty driven by the interplay between AI-related wealth creation in the tech sector and elevated mortgage rates near 6%. Latest Zillow and Redfin data through May 2026 show typical values near $1.39 million and median sale prices around $1.7 million, with year-over-year gains of 7-16% in select segments amid low inventory and faster sales velocity. However, broader Bay Area figures near $1.17 million and mixed county-level trends highlight sensitivity to labor market softening and interest-rate path expectations. Key swing factors through September include upcoming FOMC communications, regional employment reports, and any shifts in housing supply or buyer demand from IPO activity. Market-implied odds near 50% across bins underscore the narrow range of plausible outcomes absent decisive new catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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