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icon for Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Austin no dia 30 de setembro?
Economia·Parcl

Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Austin no dia 30 de setembro?

icon for Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Austin no dia 30 de setembro?
Economia·Parcl

Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Austin no dia 30 de setembro?

set 30

set 30

<$446 mil 83%

US$454K - US$462K 9.6%

$446K - $454K 4.7%

$462K - $470K 1.9%

Polymarket

$91,409 Vol.

<$446 mil 83%

US$454K - US$462K 9.6%

$446K - $454K 4.7%

$462K - $470K 1.9%

Polymarket

$91,409 Vol.

<$446 mil

$33,691 Vol.

83%

$446K - $454K

$16,610 Vol.

5%

US$454K - US$462K

$7,138 Vol.

10%

$462K - $470K

$6,083 Vol.

2%

$470 mil - $478 mil

$12,811 Vol.

1%

$478K - $486K

$5,179 Vol.

1%

US$486 mil+

$9,897 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)Austin's median home values continue to reflect a prolonged correction, with recent Unlock MLS data showing metro-wide median sale prices at $435,000 in July 2026 and $450,000 in June, while Realtor.com median listing prices fell to $450,000 in August from $462,000 the prior month. Elevated inventory, extended days on market near 60-70 days, and price concessions have sustained downward pressure on valuations, positioning the sub-$446,000 outcome with dominant market-implied odds. Zillow Home Value Index figures around $504,000-$507,000 capture a broader typical-home metric that has also declined year-over-year, reinforcing trader consensus around lower resolution levels ahead of the September 30 close.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
Volume
$91,409
Data de Término
30 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)Austin's median home values continue to reflect a prolonged correction, with recent Unlock MLS data showing metro-wide median sale prices at $435,000 in July 2026 and $450,000 in June, while Realtor.com median listing prices fell to $450,000 in August from $462,000 the prior month. Elevated inventory, extended days on market near 60-70 days, and price concessions have sustained downward pressure on valuations, positioning the sub-$446,000 outcome with dominant market-implied odds. Zillow Home Value Index figures around $504,000-$507,000 capture a broader typical-home metric that has also declined year-over-year, reinforcing trader consensus around lower resolution levels ahead of the September 30 close.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
Volume
$91,409
Data de Término
30 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Austin no dia 30 de setembro?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<$446 mil" at 83%, followed by "US$454K - US$462K" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Austin no dia 30 de setembro?" has generated $91.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Austin no dia 30 de setembro?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Austin no dia 30 de setembro?" is "<$446 mil" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "US$454K - US$462K" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Austin no dia 30 de setembro?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.