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icon for Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Los Angeles no dia 30 de setembro?
Economia·Carcaça

Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Los Angeles no dia 30 de setembro?

icon for Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Los Angeles no dia 30 de setembro?
Economia·Carcaça

Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Los Angeles no dia 30 de setembro?

set 30

set 30

< $1,137M 49.5%

$1,137M - $1,153M 40%

US$ 1,153M - US$ 1,169M 7.6%

$1,169M - $1,185M 5.8%

Polymarket

$55,609 Vol.

< $1,137M 49.5%

$1,137M - $1,153M 40%

US$ 1,153M - US$ 1,169M 7.6%

$1,169M - $1,185M 5.8%

Polymarket

$55,609 Vol.

< $1,137M

$9,373 Vol.

50%

$1,137M - $1,153M

$12,785 Vol.

40%

US$ 1,153M - US$ 1,169M

$8,171 Vol.

8%

$1,169M - $1,185M

$9,150 Vol.

6%

$1.185M - $1.201M

$9,400 Vol.

<1%

$1,201M - $1,216M

$4,642 Vol.

<1%

$1,216M+

$2,088 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings for the Los Angeles metro area hover near $965,000 as of mid-2026, with year-over-year gains limited to under 1% amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.65% and persistent affordability challenges that constrain buyer demand. Median listing prices from Realtor.com stood at $965,000 in August, reflecting a balanced market with roughly 22 days on market and modest inventory levels. Trader consensus around the $1.137 million threshold and below aligns with this trajectory of limited near-term appreciation through September 30, as seasonal softening and price-cut activity offset pockets of resilience in single-family segments. Key upcoming data releases on sales volume and inventory will likely reinforce the narrow range implied by current odds.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)
Volume
$55,609
Data de Término
30 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings for the Los Angeles metro area hover near $965,000 as of mid-2026, with year-over-year gains limited to under 1% amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.65% and persistent affordability challenges that constrain buyer demand. Median listing prices from Realtor.com stood at $965,000 in August, reflecting a balanced market with roughly 22 days on market and modest inventory levels. Trader consensus around the $1.137 million threshold and below aligns with this trajectory of limited near-term appreciation through September 30, as seasonal softening and price-cut activity offset pockets of resilience in single-family segments. Key upcoming data releases on sales volume and inventory will likely reinforce the narrow range implied by current odds.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)
Volume
$55,609
Data de Término
30 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Los Angeles no dia 30 de setembro?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "< $1,137M" at 50%, followed by "$1,137M - $1,153M" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Los Angeles no dia 30 de setembro?" has generated $55.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Los Angeles no dia 30 de setembro?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Los Angeles no dia 30 de setembro?" is "< $1,137M" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$1,137M - $1,153M" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Los Angeles no dia 30 de setembro?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.