The Trump administration has maintained an aggressive sanctions regime against Cuba since early 2025, centered on Executive Orders 14380 and 14404 that established secondary tariffs on oil shipments and expanded blocking authorities targeting the energy sector, including designations of CUPET and GAESA-linked entities. Multiple rounds of State Department and OFAC actions through July and August 2026 have continued designating energy, mining, construction, and financial intermediaries to restrict revenue flows supporting the Cuban government. Havana’s June 2026 package of private-sector reforms has not produced any corresponding US licensing easing or waiver announcements for state oil imports, while ongoing blackouts and supply constraints underscore the blockade’s effects. Traders assessing the timeline for any relief therefore track Senate dynamics, midterm election pressures, and whether future case-by-case humanitarian authorizations expand beyond narrow private-sector channels.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$46,696 Vol.
30 set 2026
30 de setembro
17%
31 de dezembro
31%
$46,696 Vol.
30 de setembro
$43 Vol.
17%
31 de dezembro
$0 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Trump administration has maintained an aggressive sanctions regime against Cuba since early 2025, centered on Executive Orders 14380 and 14404 that established secondary tariffs on oil shipments and expanded blocking authorities targeting the energy sector, including designations of CUPET and GAESA-linked entities. Multiple rounds of State Department and OFAC actions through July and August 2026 have continued designating energy, mining, construction, and financial intermediaries to restrict revenue flows supporting the Cuban government. Havana’s June 2026 package of private-sector reforms has not produced any corresponding US licensing easing or waiver announcements for state oil imports, while ongoing blackouts and supply constraints underscore the blockade’s effects. Traders assessing the timeline for any relief therefore track Senate dynamics, midterm election pressures, and whether future case-by-case humanitarian authorizations expand beyond narrow private-sector channels.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 22, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Volume
$46,696Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jun 22, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Trump administration has maintained an aggressive sanctions regime against Cuba since early 2025, centered on Executive Orders 14380 and 14404 that established secondary tariffs on oil shipments and expanded blocking authorities targeting the energy sector, including designations of CUPET and GAESA-linked entities. Multiple rounds of State Department and OFAC actions through July and August 2026 have continued designating energy, mining, construction, and financial intermediaries to restrict revenue flows supporting the Cuban government. Havana’s June 2026 package of private-sector reforms has not produced any corresponding US licensing easing or waiver announcements for state oil imports, while ongoing blackouts and supply constraints underscore the blockade’s effects. Traders assessing the timeline for any relief therefore track Senate dynamics, midterm election pressures, and whether future case-by-case humanitarian authorizations expand beyond narrow private-sector channels.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$46,696Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jun 22, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration has maintained an aggressive sanctions regime against Cuba since early 2025, centered on Executive Orders 14380 and 14404 that established secondary tariffs on oil shipments and expanded blocking authorities targeting the energy sector, including designations of CUPET and GAESA-linked entities. Multiple rounds of State Department and OFAC actions through July and August 2026 have continued designating energy, mining, construction, and financial intermediaries to restrict revenue flows supporting the Cuban government. Havana’s June 2026 package of private-sector reforms has not produced any corresponding US licensing easing or waiver announcements for state oil imports, while ongoing blackouts and supply constraints underscore the blockade’s effects. Traders assessing the timeline for any relief therefore track Senate dynamics, midterm election pressures, and whether future case-by-case humanitarian authorizations expand beyond narrow private-sector channels.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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