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icon for Índice de aprovação de Trump em 14 de agosto?

Índice de aprovação de Trump em 14 de agosto?

icon for Índice de aprovação de Trump em 14 de agosto?

Índice de aprovação de Trump em 14 de agosto?

ago 14

ago 14

38,5–38,9 37%

37,0–37,4 37%

37,5–37,9 37%

38,0–38,4 37%

Polymarket
NOVO

38,5–38,9 37%

37,0–37,4 37%

37,5–37,9 37%

38,0–38,4 37%

Polymarket
NOVO

<37,0

$0 Vol.

16%

37,0–37,4

$0 Vol.

37%

37,5–37,9

$0 Vol.

37%

38,0–38,4

$0 Vol.

37%

38,5–38,9

$0 Vol.

37%

39,0+

$0 Vol.

37%

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's approval rating in the mid-to-high 37 percent range, with minor fluctuations driven by sustained public concern over the administration's Iran policy following renewed strikes in mid-July and persistent dissatisfaction with inflation and cost-of-living trends. These factors have kept net approval at second-term lows near -21, producing a narrow band of outcomes clustered around 37–39 percent in the days leading to the August 14 reading. Trader positioning reflects the stability of this range absent major new catalysts, while any near-term diplomatic signals on Iran or economic data releases could shift individual buckets within the tight consensus.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$0
Data de Término
14 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's approval rating in the mid-to-high 37 percent range, with minor fluctuations driven by sustained public concern over the administration's Iran policy following renewed strikes in mid-July and persistent dissatisfaction with inflation and cost-of-living trends. These factors have kept net approval at second-term lows near -21, producing a narrow band of outcomes clustered around 37–39 percent in the days leading to the August 14 reading. Trader positioning reflects the stability of this range absent major new catalysts, while any near-term diplomatic signals on Iran or economic data releases could shift individual buckets within the tight consensus.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$0
Data de Término
14 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Índice de aprovação de Trump em 14 de agosto?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "38,5–38,9" at 38%, followed by "37,0–37,4" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Índice de aprovação de Trump em 14 de agosto?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Índice de aprovação de Trump em 14 de agosto?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Índice de aprovação de Trump em 14 de agosto?" is "38,5–38,9" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "37,0–37,4" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Índice de aprovação de Trump em 14 de agosto?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.