Negotiations between the United States and Iran have produced a June 2026 memorandum of understanding under which Tehran reaffirmed it would not produce or acquire nuclear weapons and agreed to maintain the status quo by refraining from further uranium enrichment or facility expansion pending a final accord. However, the 60-day window for resolving enrichment limits, stockpile dilution, and verification has seen talks shift to interim issues such as the Strait of Hormuz, with no comprehensive agreement reached by mid-August. Iran has resisted U.S. demands for zero or near-zero enrichment in its civilian program, while IAEA access remains limited following prior strikes on nuclear sites. These factors sustain trader consensus that a binding commitment to end enrichment by December 31 remains unlikely in the current diplomatic timeline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
11% chance
$1,632,204 Vol.
$1,632,204 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
11% chance
$1,632,204 Vol.
$1,632,204 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Negotiations between the United States and Iran have produced a June 2026 memorandum of understanding under which Tehran reaffirmed it would not produce or acquire nuclear weapons and agreed to maintain the status quo by refraining from further uranium enrichment or facility expansion pending a final accord. However, the 60-day window for resolving enrichment limits, stockpile dilution, and verification has seen talks shift to interim issues such as the Strait of Hormuz, with no comprehensive agreement reached by mid-August. Iran has resisted U.S. demands for zero or near-zero enrichment in its civilian program, while IAEA access remains limited following prior strikes on nuclear sites. These factors sustain trader consensus that a binding commitment to end enrichment by December 31 remains unlikely in the current diplomatic timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Volume
$1,632,204Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Negotiations between the United States and Iran have produced a June 2026 memorandum of understanding under which Tehran reaffirmed it would not produce or acquire nuclear weapons and agreed to maintain the status quo by refraining from further uranium enrichment or facility expansion pending a final accord. However, the 60-day window for resolving enrichment limits, stockpile dilution, and verification has seen talks shift to interim issues such as the Strait of Hormuz, with no comprehensive agreement reached by mid-August. Iran has resisted U.S. demands for zero or near-zero enrichment in its civilian program, while IAEA access remains limited following prior strikes on nuclear sites. These factors sustain trader consensus that a binding commitment to end enrichment by December 31 remains unlikely in the current diplomatic timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,632,204Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Negotiations between the United States and Iran have produced a June 2026 memorandum of understanding under which Tehran reaffirmed it would not produce or acquire nuclear weapons and agreed to maintain the status quo by refraining from further uranium enrichment or facility expansion pending a final accord. However, the 60-day window for resolving enrichment limits, stockpile dilution, and verification has seen talks shift to interim issues such as the Strait of Hormuz, with no comprehensive agreement reached by mid-August. Iran has resisted U.S. demands for zero or near-zero enrichment in its civilian program, while IAEA access remains limited following prior strikes on nuclear sites. These factors sustain trader consensus that a binding commitment to end enrichment by December 31 remains unlikely in the current diplomatic timeline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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