Tennessee’s November 3, 2026, U.S. Senate contest features Republican incumbent Bill Hagerty seeking a second term against Democratic nominee Marquita Bradshaw in a rematch, alongside an open gubernatorial race after term limits ended Bill Lee’s tenure. With a voting-eligible population near 5.4 million and registered voters exceeding 4.8 million, historical midterm participation in the state has ranged from roughly 40-55 percent of eligible voters, producing totals around 2-2.6 million ballots. The leading 2.2M-2.4M range reflects trader expectations shaped by population growth, elevated interest from the open governor’s seat—which prior cycles show can lift turnout several points—and Tennessee’s pattern of below-average midterm engagement compared with national benchmarks. August primary early-voting data and the limited competitiveness of the Senate race further anchor consensus around these figures.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado1.8M-2M 33.0%
<1.6M 15%
1.6M-1.8M 12.5%
2.6M+ 10.6%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
<1.6M
15%
1.6M-1.8M
13%
1.8M-2M
21%
2M-2.2M
9%
2.2M-2.4M
29%
2.4M-2.6M
7%
2.6M+
11%
1.8M-2M 33.0%
<1.6M 15%
1.6M-1.8M 12.5%
2.6M+ 10.6%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
<1.6M
$80 Vol.
15%
1.6M-1.8M
$131 Vol.
13%
1.8M-2M
$125 Vol.
21%
2M-2.2M
$160 Vol.
9%
2.2M-2.4M
$161 Vol.
29%
2.4M-2.6M
$145 Vol.
7%
2.6M+
$212 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tennessee’s November 3, 2026, U.S. Senate contest features Republican incumbent Bill Hagerty seeking a second term against Democratic nominee Marquita Bradshaw in a rematch, alongside an open gubernatorial race after term limits ended Bill Lee’s tenure. With a voting-eligible population near 5.4 million and registered voters exceeding 4.8 million, historical midterm participation in the state has ranged from roughly 40-55 percent of eligible voters, producing totals around 2-2.6 million ballots. The leading 2.2M-2.4M range reflects trader expectations shaped by population growth, elevated interest from the open governor’s seat—which prior cycles show can lift turnout several points—and Tennessee’s pattern of below-average midterm engagement compared with national benchmarks. August primary early-voting data and the limited competitiveness of the Senate race further anchor consensus around these figures.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
Volume
$1,014Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tennessee’s November 3, 2026, U.S. Senate contest features Republican incumbent Bill Hagerty seeking a second term against Democratic nominee Marquita Bradshaw in a rematch, alongside an open gubernatorial race after term limits ended Bill Lee’s tenure. With a voting-eligible population near 5.4 million and registered voters exceeding 4.8 million, historical midterm participation in the state has ranged from roughly 40-55 percent of eligible voters, producing totals around 2-2.6 million ballots. The leading 2.2M-2.4M range reflects trader expectations shaped by population growth, elevated interest from the open governor’s seat—which prior cycles show can lift turnout several points—and Tennessee’s pattern of below-average midterm engagement compared with national benchmarks. August primary early-voting data and the limited competitiveness of the Senate race further anchor consensus around these figures.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,014Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tennessee’s November 3, 2026, U.S. Senate contest features Republican incumbent Bill Hagerty seeking a second term against Democratic nominee Marquita Bradshaw in a rematch, alongside an open gubernatorial race after term limits ended Bill Lee’s tenure. With a voting-eligible population near 5.4 million and registered voters exceeding 4.8 million, historical midterm participation in the state has ranged from roughly 40-55 percent of eligible voters, producing totals around 2-2.6 million ballots. The leading 2.2M-2.4M range reflects trader expectations shaped by population growth, elevated interest from the open governor’s seat—which prior cycles show can lift turnout several points—and Tennessee’s pattern of below-average midterm engagement compared with national benchmarks. August primary early-voting data and the limited competitiveness of the Senate race further anchor consensus around these figures.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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