**Trader sentiment for the number of states in D4 (Exceptional Drought) during the week of September 15, 2026, remains evenly balanced across ranges because current US Drought Monitor data show limited but persistent D4 coverage amid rapidly evolving flash drought conditions.** As of early September, D4 occupies about 1.4% of U.S. area, concentrated in pockets of the central and southern Plains, Nebraska, and Colorado, driven by short-term precipitation deficits, above-normal temperatures, and high evapotranspiration rates that intensified conditions from Texas northeastward. Short-range forecasts indicate mostly dry weather through mid-month in parts of the central U.S., supporting potential expansion or persistence of D4, while CPC outlooks favor above-normal precipitation in other regions that could bring localized improvements. This divergence in precipitation timing and intensity, combined with the binary nature of D4 thresholds on the USDM scale, creates genuine uncertainty ahead of the next map release.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQuantos estados estarão em D4 (Seca Excepcional) — semana de 15 de setembro de 2026?
Quantos estados estarão em D4 (Seca Excepcional) — semana de 15 de setembro de 2026?
0 estados 50%
1-2 estados 50%
3-4 estados 50%
5-6 estados 50%
NOVO
NOVO
17 set 2026
0 estados
50%
1-2 estados
50%
3-4 estados
50%
5-6 estados
50%
7-9 estados
50%
10 ou mais estados
50%
0 estados 50%
1-2 estados 50%
3-4 estados 50%
5-6 estados 50%
NOVO
NOVO
17 set 2026
0 estados
$0 Vol.
50%
1-2 estados
$0 Vol.
50%
3-4 estados
$0 Vol.
50%
5-6 estados
$0 Vol.
50%
7-9 estados
$0 Vol.
50%
10 ou mais estados
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 15, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.**Trader sentiment for the number of states in D4 (Exceptional Drought) during the week of September 15, 2026, remains evenly balanced across ranges because current US Drought Monitor data show limited but persistent D4 coverage amid rapidly evolving flash drought conditions.** As of early September, D4 occupies about 1.4% of U.S. area, concentrated in pockets of the central and southern Plains, Nebraska, and Colorado, driven by short-term precipitation deficits, above-normal temperatures, and high evapotranspiration rates that intensified conditions from Texas northeastward. Short-range forecasts indicate mostly dry weather through mid-month in parts of the central U.S., supporting potential expansion or persistence of D4, while CPC outlooks favor above-normal precipitation in other regions that could bring localized improvements. This divergence in precipitation timing and intensity, combined with the binary nature of D4 thresholds on the USDM scale, creates genuine uncertainty ahead of the next map release.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 15, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 9:00 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 15, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.**Trader sentiment for the number of states in D4 (Exceptional Drought) during the week of September 15, 2026, remains evenly balanced across ranges because current US Drought Monitor data show limited but persistent D4 coverage amid rapidly evolving flash drought conditions.** As of early September, D4 occupies about 1.4% of U.S. area, concentrated in pockets of the central and southern Plains, Nebraska, and Colorado, driven by short-term precipitation deficits, above-normal temperatures, and high evapotranspiration rates that intensified conditions from Texas northeastward. Short-range forecasts indicate mostly dry weather through mid-month in parts of the central U.S., supporting potential expansion or persistence of D4, while CPC outlooks favor above-normal precipitation in other regions that could bring localized improvements. This divergence in precipitation timing and intensity, combined with the binary nature of D4 thresholds on the USDM scale, creates genuine uncertainty ahead of the next map release.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 15, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Volume
$0Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 9:00 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the number of states in D4 (Exceptional Drought) during the week of September 15, 2026, remains evenly balanced across ranges because current US Drought Monitor data show limited but persistent D4 coverage amid rapidly evolving flash drought conditions.** As of early September, D4 occupies about 1.4% of U.S. area, concentrated in pockets of the central and southern Plains, Nebraska, and Colorado, driven by short-term precipitation deficits, above-normal temperatures, and high evapotranspiration rates that intensified conditions from Texas northeastward. Short-range forecasts indicate mostly dry weather through mid-month in parts of the central U.S., supporting potential expansion or persistence of D4, while CPC outlooks favor above-normal precipitation in other regions that could bring localized improvements. This divergence in precipitation timing and intensity, combined with the binary nature of D4 thresholds on the USDM scale, creates genuine uncertainty ahead of the next map release.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions