Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a September 10 maximum of 26–31°C under strengthening northeast monsoon flow, which is driving the near-even market split between 30°C and 31°C outcomes. This pattern brings slightly cooler, drier air from the north while allowing partial sunshine and only isolated showers, limiting convective heating compared with recent days. Model guidance shows broad agreement on this range, with minor differences arising from exact shower timing and cloud cover that could cap or boost the afternoon peak by 1°C. Seasonal context of an emerging El Niño and above-normal September temperatures supports the current trader consensus, though fresh model runs ahead of the date remain the key variable for any shift.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong no dia 10 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong no dia 10 de setembro?
30°C 35%
31°C 34%
29°C 13%
32°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
10 set 2026
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
13%
30°C
35%
31°C
34%
32°C
10%
33°C
6%
34°C
5%
35°C
4%
36°C ou mais
<1%
30°C 35%
31°C 34%
29°C 13%
32°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
10 set 2026
26°C ou menos
$205 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$13 Vol.
1%
28°C
$20 Vol.
9%
29°C
$106 Vol.
13%
30°C
$14 Vol.
35%
31°C
$13 Vol.
34%
32°C
$28 Vol.
10%
33°C
$0 Vol.
6%
34°C
$100 Vol.
5%
35°C
$35 Vol.
4%
36°C ou mais
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a September 10 maximum of 26–31°C under strengthening northeast monsoon flow, which is driving the near-even market split between 30°C and 31°C outcomes. This pattern brings slightly cooler, drier air from the north while allowing partial sunshine and only isolated showers, limiting convective heating compared with recent days. Model guidance shows broad agreement on this range, with minor differences arising from exact shower timing and cloud cover that could cap or boost the afternoon peak by 1°C. Seasonal context of an emerging El Niño and above-normal September temperatures supports the current trader consensus, though fresh model runs ahead of the date remain the key variable for any shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$645Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a September 10 maximum of 26–31°C under strengthening northeast monsoon flow, which is driving the near-even market split between 30°C and 31°C outcomes. This pattern brings slightly cooler, drier air from the north while allowing partial sunshine and only isolated showers, limiting convective heating compared with recent days. Model guidance shows broad agreement on this range, with minor differences arising from exact shower timing and cloud cover that could cap or boost the afternoon peak by 1°C. Seasonal context of an emerging El Niño and above-normal September temperatures supports the current trader consensus, though fresh model runs ahead of the date remain the key variable for any shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$645Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a September 10 maximum of 26–31°C under strengthening northeast monsoon flow, which is driving the near-even market split between 30°C and 31°C outcomes. This pattern brings slightly cooler, drier air from the north while allowing partial sunshine and only isolated showers, limiting convective heating compared with recent days. Model guidance shows broad agreement on this range, with minor differences arising from exact shower timing and cloud cover that could cap or boost the afternoon peak by 1°C. Seasonal context of an emerging El Niño and above-normal September temperatures supports the current trader consensus, though fresh model runs ahead of the date remain the key variable for any shift.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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