President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 2026 announcement that he would resign within weeks and trigger early presidential and parliamentary elections—followed by his August clarification pointing to an October or early November vote—has driven trader consensus toward a pre-2027 parliamentary election at 73.5% implied probability. Ongoing student-led protests since late 2024 have sustained pressure for dissolution of the National Assembly, while Serbia’s constitution permits the president to call elections 45–60 days after dissolution. Preparations by ODIHR for anticipated 2026 voting and Vučić’s prior pattern of snap polls in 2022 and 2023 reinforce expectations that the regular December 2027 deadline will not be reached.