Canada’s 45th Parliament produced a Liberal minority government after the April 28, 2025 election under Prime Minister Mark Carney. By-elections and floor crossings later delivered a slim majority by April 2026, allowing the government to pass legislation without relying on opposition support. Fixed-date rules set the 46th general election for October 15, 2029, but the prime minister retains the ability to request dissolution earlier. With stable majority status, confidence votes or supply defeats remain low-probability triggers for a snap election in the near term. Traders therefore price limited risk of a call before late 2026, with any shift likely tied to sustained polling declines, internal party pressure, or major policy setbacks ahead of the next scheduled vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$93,799 Vol.
30 dez 2026
31 de dezembro de 2026
6%
$93,799 Vol.
31 de dezembro de 2026
$2,142 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Canada’s 45th Parliament produced a Liberal minority government after the April 28, 2025 election under Prime Minister Mark Carney. By-elections and floor crossings later delivered a slim majority by April 2026, allowing the government to pass legislation without relying on opposition support. Fixed-date rules set the 46th general election for October 15, 2029, but the prime minister retains the ability to request dissolution earlier. With stable majority status, confidence votes or supply defeats remain low-probability triggers for a snap election in the near term. Traders therefore price limited risk of a call before late 2026, with any shift likely tied to sustained polling declines, internal party pressure, or major policy setbacks ahead of the next scheduled vote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
Volume
$93,799Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Canada’s 45th Parliament produced a Liberal minority government after the April 28, 2025 election under Prime Minister Mark Carney. By-elections and floor crossings later delivered a slim majority by April 2026, allowing the government to pass legislation without relying on opposition support. Fixed-date rules set the 46th general election for October 15, 2029, but the prime minister retains the ability to request dissolution earlier. With stable majority status, confidence votes or supply defeats remain low-probability triggers for a snap election in the near term. Traders therefore price limited risk of a call before late 2026, with any shift likely tied to sustained polling declines, internal party pressure, or major policy setbacks ahead of the next scheduled vote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$93,799Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada’s 45th Parliament produced a Liberal minority government after the April 28, 2025 election under Prime Minister Mark Carney. By-elections and floor crossings later delivered a slim majority by April 2026, allowing the government to pass legislation without relying on opposition support. Fixed-date rules set the 46th general election for October 15, 2029, but the prime minister retains the ability to request dissolution earlier. With stable majority status, confidence votes or supply defeats remain low-probability triggers for a snap election in the near term. Traders therefore price limited risk of a call before late 2026, with any shift likely tied to sustained polling declines, internal party pressure, or major policy setbacks ahead of the next scheduled vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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