The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 50% for numerous labs reflects intense competition in agentic AI, where capabilities in multi-step reasoning, tool use, and autonomous workflows remain closely matched. Recent 2026 releases such as OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 series with expanded context and native computer-use features, Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 and Sonnet variants, and Google’s Gemini 3.5 models have narrowed gaps, while open-weight contenders like DeepSeek and Mistral gain traction on cost and customization. Trader consensus views the race as fluid, driven by benchmark performance on agent tasks and infrastructure standards like the Model Context Protocol, with little time left before end-of-August resolution for any single lab to pull decisively ahead.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSegundo melhor laboratório de agentes de IA no final de agosto?
Segundo melhor laboratório de agentes de IA no final de agosto?
OpenAI 49%
Nvidia 34%
Meta 32%
Meituan 31%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
OpenAI
49%
Nvidia
34%
Meta
32%
Meituan
31%
Amazon
27%
18%
ByteDance
17%
Z.ai
12%
Anthropic
12%
Microsoft
12%
MiniMax
11%
DeepSeek
9%
SpaceXAI
7%
Alibaba
6%
Moonshot
16%
Xiaomi
13%
Mistral
1%
Baidu
1%
OpenAI 49%
Nvidia 34%
Meta 32%
Meituan 31%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
OpenAI
$180 Vol.
49%
Nvidia
$65 Vol.
34%
Meta
$60 Vol.
32%
Meituan
$25 Vol.
31%
Amazon
$32 Vol.
27%
$60 Vol.
18%
ByteDance
$75 Vol.
17%
Z.ai
$60 Vol.
12%
Anthropic
$73 Vol.
12%
Microsoft
$139 Vol.
12%
MiniMax
$70 Vol.
11%
DeepSeek
$60 Vol.
9%
SpaceXAI
$60 Vol.
7%
Alibaba
$69 Vol.
6%
Moonshot
$44 Vol.
16%
Xiaomi
$73 Vol.
13%
Mistral
$86 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$143 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 50% for numerous labs reflects intense competition in agentic AI, where capabilities in multi-step reasoning, tool use, and autonomous workflows remain closely matched. Recent 2026 releases such as OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 series with expanded context and native computer-use features, Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 and Sonnet variants, and Google’s Gemini 3.5 models have narrowed gaps, while open-weight contenders like DeepSeek and Mistral gain traction on cost and customization. Trader consensus views the race as fluid, driven by benchmark performance on agent tasks and infrastructure standards like the Model Context Protocol, with little time left before end-of-August resolution for any single lab to pull decisively ahead.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado Aberto: Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Volume
$1,373Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agentResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 50% for numerous labs reflects intense competition in agentic AI, where capabilities in multi-step reasoning, tool use, and autonomous workflows remain closely matched. Recent 2026 releases such as OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 series with expanded context and native computer-use features, Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 and Sonnet variants, and Google’s Gemini 3.5 models have narrowed gaps, while open-weight contenders like DeepSeek and Mistral gain traction on cost and customization. Trader consensus views the race as fluid, driven by benchmark performance on agent tasks and infrastructure standards like the Model Context Protocol, with little time left before end-of-August resolution for any single lab to pull decisively ahead.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,373Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agentResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 50% for numerous labs reflects intense competition in agentic AI, where capabilities in multi-step reasoning, tool use, and autonomous workflows remain closely matched. Recent 2026 releases such as OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 series with expanded context and native computer-use features, Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 and Sonnet variants, and Google’s Gemini 3.5 models have narrowed gaps, while open-weight contenders like DeepSeek and Mistral gain traction on cost and customization. Trader consensus views the race as fluid, driven by benchmark performance on agent tasks and infrastructure standards like the Model Context Protocol, with little time left before end-of-August resolution for any single lab to pull decisively ahead.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions