Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas since the first USDA-confirmed case on June 3, 2026, have driven trader focus, with 37 animal cases reported through July 31 across Texas and New Mexico and zero domestically acquired human infestations. The parasite’s larvae cause myiasis by burrowing into living tissue of livestock and wildlife, a threat previously eliminated from the U.S. in 1966 through sterile insect technique. Texas issued and expanded state disaster declarations in June, while USDA APHIS leads containment via surveillance, sterile fly releases, and port controls; HHS’s 2025 emergency declaration enabled drug authorizations but no presidential national emergency has followed. Key upcoming factors include August 2026 port reopenings, new sterile fly facilities, and weekly case dashboards that could clarify whether federal escalation is warranted.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoScrewworm National Emergency declared by...?
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
NOVO
1 jan 2027
August 30
50%
31 de outubro
48%
December 31
44%
$1,412 Vol.
August 30
$30 Vol.
50%
31 de outubro
$0 Vol.
48%
December 31
$0 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas since the first USDA-confirmed case on June 3, 2026, have driven trader focus, with 37 animal cases reported through July 31 across Texas and New Mexico and zero domestically acquired human infestations. The parasite’s larvae cause myiasis by burrowing into living tissue of livestock and wildlife, a threat previously eliminated from the U.S. in 1966 through sterile insect technique. Texas issued and expanded state disaster declarations in June, while USDA APHIS leads containment via surveillance, sterile fly releases, and port controls; HHS’s 2025 emergency declaration enabled drug authorizations but no presidential national emergency has followed. Key upcoming factors include August 2026 port reopenings, new sterile fly facilities, and weekly case dashboards that could clarify whether federal escalation is warranted.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
Volume
$1,412Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas since the first USDA-confirmed case on June 3, 2026, have driven trader focus, with 37 animal cases reported through July 31 across Texas and New Mexico and zero domestically acquired human infestations. The parasite’s larvae cause myiasis by burrowing into living tissue of livestock and wildlife, a threat previously eliminated from the U.S. in 1966 through sterile insect technique. Texas issued and expanded state disaster declarations in June, while USDA APHIS leads containment via surveillance, sterile fly releases, and port controls; HHS’s 2025 emergency declaration enabled drug authorizations but no presidential national emergency has followed. Key upcoming factors include August 2026 port reopenings, new sterile fly facilities, and weekly case dashboards that could clarify whether federal escalation is warranted.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,412Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas since the first USDA-confirmed case on June 3, 2026, have driven trader focus, with 37 animal cases reported through July 31 across Texas and New Mexico and zero domestically acquired human infestations. The parasite’s larvae cause myiasis by burrowing into living tissue of livestock and wildlife, a threat previously eliminated from the U.S. in 1966 through sterile insect technique. Texas issued and expanded state disaster declarations in June, while USDA APHIS leads containment via surveillance, sterile fly releases, and port controls; HHS’s 2025 emergency declaration enabled drug authorizations but no presidential national emergency has followed. Key upcoming factors include August 2026 port reopenings, new sterile fly facilities, and weekly case dashboards that could clarify whether federal escalation is warranted.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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