Russia's State Duma elections, set for September 18–20, 2026, feature a three-day format and expanded electronic voting that historically support controlled participation levels. Regional authorities have received instructions to target turnout near 50 percent, aligning with the leading market probabilities clustered in the low-to-mid 50s. State pollster data shows declared voting intentions around 66 percent, tempered by limited public awareness of the date and the managed nature of mobilization efforts focused on public-sector workers and students. These administrative levers, alongside the absence of competitive opposition, have kept expectations anchored in the 50–56 percent range rather than higher historical peaks or significantly lower figures.