Skip to main content
icon for Eleição Senado Rondônia: 2º Lugar
Política·Eleição Principal

Eleição Senado Rondônia: 2º Lugar

icon for Eleição Senado Rondônia: 2º Lugar
Política·Eleição Principal

Eleição Senado Rondônia: 2º Lugar

Sílvia Cristina 48%

Acir Gurgacz 24%

Mariana Carvalho 23%

Engenheiro Thulio 21%

Polymarket
NOVO

Sílvia Cristina 48%

Acir Gurgacz 24%

Mariana Carvalho 23%

Engenheiro Thulio 21%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Sílvia Cristina

Sílvia Cristina

$169 Vol.

61%

icon for Acir Gurgacz

Acir Gurgacz

$40 Vol.

24%

icon for Mariana Carvalho

Mariana Carvalho

$40 Vol.

23%

icon for Engenheiro Thulio

Engenheiro Thulio

$40 Vol.

21%

icon for Luis Fernando

Luis Fernando

$40 Vol.

19%

icon for Neidinha

Neidinha

$40 Vol.

19%

icon for Aires Mota

Aires Mota

$40 Vol.

19%

icon for Dr. Fernando Máximo

Dr. Fernando Máximo

$40 Vol.

19%

icon for Luciana Oliveira

Luciana Oliveira

$40 Vol.

17%

icon for Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid

Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid

$40 Vol.

14%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Multiple pre-candidates for Rondônia's two Senate seats remain closely bunched in recent polling, with Sílvia Cristina, Dr. Fernando Máximo, Acir Gurgacz, Mariana Carvalho, and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid showing comparable support levels in mid-2026 surveys. Fragmented party alignments, including PL, PP, PDT, and Republicanos tickets, combined with undecided voters and regional economic priorities, sustain the tight contest for second place. Recent announcements such as Confúcio Moura's withdrawal have redistributed support without creating clear separation. Upcoming polls, formal alliances ahead of the October election, or shifts in turnout among key voting blocs could alter the ordering before ballots close.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$529
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Multiple pre-candidates for Rondônia's two Senate seats remain closely bunched in recent polling, with Sílvia Cristina, Dr. Fernando Máximo, Acir Gurgacz, Mariana Carvalho, and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid showing comparable support levels in mid-2026 surveys. Fragmented party alignments, including PL, PP, PDT, and Republicanos tickets, combined with undecided voters and regional economic priorities, sustain the tight contest for second place. Recent announcements such as Confúcio Moura's withdrawal have redistributed support without creating clear separation. Upcoming polls, formal alliances ahead of the October election, or shifts in turnout among key voting blocs could alter the ordering before ballots close.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$529
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Relacionado

icon for Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?

Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?

67%
icon for Will Helio Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?

Will Helio Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?

41%
icon for Marley conquistará o segundo maior número de votos na eleição para o Senado do Distrito Federal de 2026?

Marley conquistará o segundo maior número de votos na eleição para o Senado do Distrito Federal de 2026?

27%
Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição Senado Rondônia: 2º Lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sílvia Cristina" at 61%, followed by "Acir Gurgacz" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eleição Senado Rondônia: 2º Lugar" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eleição Senado Rondônia: 2º Lugar," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição Senado Rondônia: 2º Lugar" is "Sílvia Cristina" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Acir Gurgacz" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição Senado Rondônia: 2º Lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.