Incumbent Republican Nicholas Langworthy holds a commanding position in New York’s 23rd congressional district, a Southern Tier and Western New York seat rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato’s Crystal Ball and similar forecasters. The district carries an R+10 partisan voter index, and Langworthy advanced unopposed in the June 2026 Republican primary while maintaining a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Aaron Gies. Gies won his party’s primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles. Prediction market pricing at 91.5% for the Republican reflects this baseline advantage and the absence of late-breaking developments capable of altering the trajectory. A major scandal, sharp national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa NY-23
Vencedor da eleição da casa NY-23
$24,448 Vol.
$24,448 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
92%
Partido Democrata
9%
$24,448 Vol.
$24,448 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$11,070 Vol.
92%
Partido Democrata
$13,378 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicholas Langworthy holds a commanding position in New York’s 23rd congressional district, a Southern Tier and Western New York seat rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato’s Crystal Ball and similar forecasters. The district carries an R+10 partisan voter index, and Langworthy advanced unopposed in the June 2026 Republican primary while maintaining a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Aaron Gies. Gies won his party’s primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles. Prediction market pricing at 91.5% for the Republican reflects this baseline advantage and the absence of late-breaking developments capable of altering the trajectory. A major scandal, sharp national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$24,448Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicholas Langworthy holds a commanding position in New York’s 23rd congressional district, a Southern Tier and Western New York seat rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato’s Crystal Ball and similar forecasters. The district carries an R+10 partisan voter index, and Langworthy advanced unopposed in the June 2026 Republican primary while maintaining a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Aaron Gies. Gies won his party’s primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles. Prediction market pricing at 91.5% for the Republican reflects this baseline advantage and the absence of late-breaking developments capable of altering the trajectory. A major scandal, sharp national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,448Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nicholas Langworthy holds a commanding position in New York’s 23rd congressional district, a Southern Tier and Western New York seat rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato’s Crystal Ball and similar forecasters. The district carries an R+10 partisan voter index, and Langworthy advanced unopposed in the June 2026 Republican primary while maintaining a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Aaron Gies. Gies won his party’s primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles. Prediction market pricing at 91.5% for the Republican reflects this baseline advantage and the absence of late-breaking developments capable of altering the trajectory. A major scandal, sharp national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions