Kathy Hochul maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race as the Democratic incumbent, backed by the state's roughly 2-to-1 Democratic registration edge, a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $20 million, and consistent polling averages showing her ahead by about 11 points. Bruce Blakeman, the Republican nominee and Nassau County executive who secured his party's nod after Elise Stefanik's withdrawal, faces low statewide name recognition and limited crossover appeal among independents. Recent Siena surveys through early August confirm Hochul's job approval near 53 percent and widening margins in key suburban areas, reflecting voter priorities around affordability amid limited movement in the race since the June primaries. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include sustained economic discontent or unforeseen late developments, though structural factors continue to anchor trader consensus on her position.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para governador de Nova York
Vencedor da eleição para governador de Nova York
$106,321 Vol.
$106,321 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Kathy Hochul
94%
Bruce Blakeman (R)
6%
$106,321 Vol.
$106,321 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Kathy Hochul
$49,544 Vol.
94%
Bruce Blakeman (R)
$56,777 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kathy Hochul maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race as the Democratic incumbent, backed by the state's roughly 2-to-1 Democratic registration edge, a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $20 million, and consistent polling averages showing her ahead by about 11 points. Bruce Blakeman, the Republican nominee and Nassau County executive who secured his party's nod after Elise Stefanik's withdrawal, faces low statewide name recognition and limited crossover appeal among independents. Recent Siena surveys through early August confirm Hochul's job approval near 53 percent and widening margins in key suburban areas, reflecting voter priorities around affordability amid limited movement in the race since the June primaries. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include sustained economic discontent or unforeseen late developments, though structural factors continue to anchor trader consensus on her position.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Volume
$106,321Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kathy Hochul maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race as the Democratic incumbent, backed by the state's roughly 2-to-1 Democratic registration edge, a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $20 million, and consistent polling averages showing her ahead by about 11 points. Bruce Blakeman, the Republican nominee and Nassau County executive who secured his party's nod after Elise Stefanik's withdrawal, faces low statewide name recognition and limited crossover appeal among independents. Recent Siena surveys through early August confirm Hochul's job approval near 53 percent and widening margins in key suburban areas, reflecting voter priorities around affordability amid limited movement in the race since the June primaries. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include sustained economic discontent or unforeseen late developments, though structural factors continue to anchor trader consensus on her position.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$106,321Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kathy Hochul maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race as the Democratic incumbent, backed by the state's roughly 2-to-1 Democratic registration edge, a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $20 million, and consistent polling averages showing her ahead by about 11 points. Bruce Blakeman, the Republican nominee and Nassau County executive who secured his party's nod after Elise Stefanik's withdrawal, faces low statewide name recognition and limited crossover appeal among independents. Recent Siena surveys through early August confirm Hochul's job approval near 53 percent and widening margins in key suburban areas, reflecting voter priorities around affordability amid limited movement in the race since the June primaries. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include sustained economic discontent or unforeseen late developments, though structural factors continue to anchor trader consensus on her position.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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