A developing weather system with northerly winds, high humidity, and widespread cloud cover is the main driver behind the balanced market odds for Zhengzhou’s September 20 low temperature. Official and model guidance from sources like GFS and regional forecasts point to an overnight low near 20–21°C amid light rain and overcast conditions that limit radiative cooling while preventing strong daytime heating. This setup creates genuine uncertainty around exact thresholds: enhanced cloud insulation and moisture could hold temperatures above 20°C, whereas any clearing or stronger advection might allow dips toward 18°C or below. Historical September averages near 17°C provide context, but current synoptic patterns favor the mid-range outcome without extreme deviation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Zhengzhou em 20 de setembro?
25°C ou mais 96%
15°C ou menos 95%
20°C 21%
21°C 21%
15°C ou menos
95%
16°C
17%
17°C
9%
18°C
20%
19°C
20%
20°C
21%
21°C
21%
22°C
20%
23°C
20%
24°C
17%
25°C ou mais
96%
25°C ou mais 96%
15°C ou menos 95%
20°C 21%
21°C 21%
15°C ou menos
95%
16°C
17%
17°C
9%
18°C
20%
19°C
20%
20°C
21%
21°C
21%
22°C
20%
23°C
20%
24°C
17%
25°C ou mais
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...A developing weather system with northerly winds, high humidity, and widespread cloud cover is the main driver behind the balanced market odds for Zhengzhou’s September 20 low temperature. Official and model guidance from sources like GFS and regional forecasts point to an overnight low near 20–21°C amid light rain and overcast conditions that limit radiative cooling while preventing strong daytime heating. This setup creates genuine uncertainty around exact thresholds: enhanced cloud insulation and moisture could hold temperatures above 20°C, whereas any clearing or stronger advection might allow dips toward 18°C or below. Historical September averages near 17°C provide context, but current synoptic patterns favor the mid-range outcome without extreme deviation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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