Official meteorological forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and converging global models indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for August 23, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity near 80-90%, and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. This aligns with historical August baselines for the region, where overnight lows typically stabilize near 26-28°C absent major frontal systems. The market's 95% implied probability on 27°C reflects trader confidence in this consensus, as verified observations through the evening show temperatures holding above 28°C before gradual decline. Lower outcomes would require unanticipated stronger radiative cooling or heavier rainfall, which current model runs do not support.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Wuhan em 23 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Wuhan em 23 de agosto?
27°C 99%
25°C 2%
26°C 2%
24°C <1%
$3,236 Vol.
$3,236 Vol.
23 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99%
25°C 2%
26°C 2%
24°C <1%
$3,236 Vol.
$3,236 Vol.
23 ago 2026
22°C or below
$239 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$184 Vol.
1%
24°C
$356 Vol.
1%
25°C
$292 Vol.
2%
26°C
$285 Vol.
7%
27°C
$548 Vol.
99%
28°C
$262 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$302 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$162 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$329 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$279 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and converging global models indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for August 23, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity near 80-90%, and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. This aligns with historical August baselines for the region, where overnight lows typically stabilize near 26-28°C absent major frontal systems. The market's 95% implied probability on 27°C reflects trader confidence in this consensus, as verified observations through the evening show temperatures holding above 28°C before gradual decline. Lower outcomes would require unanticipated stronger radiative cooling or heavier rainfall, which current model runs do not support.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,236Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and converging global models indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for August 23, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity near 80-90%, and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. This aligns with historical August baselines for the region, where overnight lows typically stabilize near 26-28°C absent major frontal systems. The market's 95% implied probability on 27°C reflects trader confidence in this consensus, as verified observations through the evening show temperatures holding above 28°C before gradual decline. Lower outcomes would require unanticipated stronger radiative cooling or heavier rainfall, which current model runs do not support.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,236Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official meteorological forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and converging global models indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for August 23, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity near 80-90%, and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. This aligns with historical August baselines for the region, where overnight lows typically stabilize near 26-28°C absent major frontal systems. The market's 95% implied probability on 27°C reflects trader confidence in this consensus, as verified observations through the evening show temperatures holding above 28°C before gradual decline. Lower outcomes would require unanticipated stronger radiative cooling or heavier rainfall, which current model runs do not support.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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