**Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus points to overnight lows in Shanghai on September 2, 2026, stabilizing in the 24–26°C range amid widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and periods of rain.** Multiple forecasts from sources including LUFT TIME, Worldmeteo, and Meteoprog indicate a minimum near 24–25°C, with persistent northeasterly flow and precipitation (some models project over 10–50 mm) limiting radiational cooling under overcast skies. This setup aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities for 26°C (46.0%) and nearby bins at 25°C and 27°C, as traders aggregate real-time model outputs and historical analogs for early-September Shanghai conditions influenced by residual monsoon moisture and weak frontal activity. Updated runs from global models such as GFS or ECMWF, along with official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, will provide the next key refinements ahead of the overnight period.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai no dia 2 de setembro?
26°C 47%
27°C 32%
25°C 22%
23°C 12%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
12%
24°C
11%
25°C
22%
26°C
47%
27°C
32%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 47%
27°C 32%
25°C 22%
23°C 12%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
12%
24°C
11%
25°C
22%
26°C
47%
27°C
32%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus points to overnight lows in Shanghai on September 2, 2026, stabilizing in the 24–26°C range amid widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and periods of rain.** Multiple forecasts from sources including LUFT TIME, Worldmeteo, and Meteoprog indicate a minimum near 24–25°C, with persistent northeasterly flow and precipitation (some models project over 10–50 mm) limiting radiational cooling under overcast skies. This setup aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities for 26°C (46.0%) and nearby bins at 25°C and 27°C, as traders aggregate real-time model outputs and historical analogs for early-September Shanghai conditions influenced by residual monsoon moisture and weak frontal activity. Updated runs from global models such as GFS or ECMWF, along with official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, will provide the next key refinements ahead of the overnight period.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions