Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate a daily minimum temperature of 25–26°C for Seoul-Incheon on August 24, driven by sustained warm, humid air advection along the North Pacific high-pressure ridge, elevated dew points near 25°C, and persistent cloud cover that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup produces tropical-night conditions typical for late August, narrowing the expected range and aligning closely with the market’s leading 26°C (48.5%) and 25°C (38.5%) outcomes. Updated model guidance shows minimal spread in steering flow or localized clearing, keeping probabilities stable ahead of final observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 24 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 24 de agosto?
26°C 49%
25°C 47%
23°C 5%
24°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
5%
25°C
47%
26°C
49%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 49%
25°C 47%
23°C 5%
24°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
21°C or below
$48 Vol.
1%
22°C
$147 Vol.
1%
23°C
$23 Vol.
5%
24°C
$290 Vol.
5%
25°C
$225 Vol.
47%
26°C
$2,459 Vol.
49%
27°C
$174 Vol.
5%
28°C
$18 Vol.
1%
29°C
$38 Vol.
1%
30°C
$472 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$136 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate a daily minimum temperature of 25–26°C for Seoul-Incheon on August 24, driven by sustained warm, humid air advection along the North Pacific high-pressure ridge, elevated dew points near 25°C, and persistent cloud cover that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup produces tropical-night conditions typical for late August, narrowing the expected range and aligning closely with the market’s leading 26°C (48.5%) and 25°C (38.5%) outcomes. Updated model guidance shows minimal spread in steering flow or localized clearing, keeping probabilities stable ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$4,031Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate a daily minimum temperature of 25–26°C for Seoul-Incheon on August 24, driven by sustained warm, humid air advection along the North Pacific high-pressure ridge, elevated dew points near 25°C, and persistent cloud cover that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup produces tropical-night conditions typical for late August, narrowing the expected range and aligning closely with the market’s leading 26°C (48.5%) and 25°C (38.5%) outcomes. Updated model guidance shows minimal spread in steering flow or localized clearing, keeping probabilities stable ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,031Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate a daily minimum temperature of 25–26°C for Seoul-Incheon on August 24, driven by sustained warm, humid air advection along the North Pacific high-pressure ridge, elevated dew points near 25°C, and persistent cloud cover that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup produces tropical-night conditions typical for late August, narrowing the expected range and aligning closely with the market’s leading 26°C (48.5%) and 25°C (38.5%) outcomes. Updated model guidance shows minimal spread in steering flow or localized clearing, keeping probabilities stable ahead of final observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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