Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and aligned European models have tightened the expected overnight minimum in Paris to 13°C on August 23 under northwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate radiative cooling after a daytime high near 25°C. This consensus, backed by surface observations and ensemble guidance showing limited cloud cover overnight, underpins the market's overwhelming 98% implied probability for the 13°C outcome. Historical August climatology places typical lows around 14–15°C, so the current positioning reflects a modest cool anomaly rather than an extreme. A thicker cloud deck or stronger winds could limit cooling and push the reading to 14°C or higher, while clearer, calmer conditions might allow a dip to 12°C or below at the official station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 23 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 23 de agosto?
13°C 98%
11°C 2%
12°C <1%
9°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
8°C ou menos
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
1%
13°C
98%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C ou mais
<1%
13°C 98%
11°C 2%
12°C <1%
9°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
8°C ou menos
$208 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$299 Vol.
1%
10°C
$878 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$502 Vol.
2%
12°C
$1,614 Vol.
1%
13°C
$1,275 Vol.
98%
14°C
$756 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$258 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$688 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$659 Vol.
<1%
18°C ou mais
$262 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and aligned European models have tightened the expected overnight minimum in Paris to 13°C on August 23 under northwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate radiative cooling after a daytime high near 25°C. This consensus, backed by surface observations and ensemble guidance showing limited cloud cover overnight, underpins the market's overwhelming 98% implied probability for the 13°C outcome. Historical August climatology places typical lows around 14–15°C, so the current positioning reflects a modest cool anomaly rather than an extreme. A thicker cloud deck or stronger winds could limit cooling and push the reading to 14°C or higher, while clearer, calmer conditions might allow a dip to 12°C or below at the official station.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$7,398Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and aligned European models have tightened the expected overnight minimum in Paris to 13°C on August 23 under northwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate radiative cooling after a daytime high near 25°C. This consensus, backed by surface observations and ensemble guidance showing limited cloud cover overnight, underpins the market's overwhelming 98% implied probability for the 13°C outcome. Historical August climatology places typical lows around 14–15°C, so the current positioning reflects a modest cool anomaly rather than an extreme. A thicker cloud deck or stronger winds could limit cooling and push the reading to 14°C or higher, while clearer, calmer conditions might allow a dip to 12°C or below at the official station.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,398Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and aligned European models have tightened the expected overnight minimum in Paris to 13°C on August 23 under northwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate radiative cooling after a daytime high near 25°C. This consensus, backed by surface observations and ensemble guidance showing limited cloud cover overnight, underpins the market's overwhelming 98% implied probability for the 13°C outcome. Historical August climatology places typical lows around 14–15°C, so the current positioning reflects a modest cool anomaly rather than an extreme. A thicker cloud deck or stronger winds could limit cooling and push the reading to 14°C or higher, while clearer, calmer conditions might allow a dip to 12°C or below at the official station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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