Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance projects an overnight low near 69–72°F for New York City on August 15, consistent with typical late-summer minimums around 69°F at Central Park and the market’s concentration on 70–73°F bins. Persistent warmth aloft, elevated dew points, and limited cold-air advection under a subtropical ridge keep temperatures from falling further, while minor steering influences from potential southern systems introduce slight downward variability. Official resolution relies on the verified Central Park reading, where urban heat retention and measurement precision can shift the exact value within the leading ranges. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 15 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 15 de agosto?
70-71°F 46%
72-73°F 32%
68-69°F 11%
74-75°F 11%
NOVO
NOVO
15 ago 2026
57°F ou menos
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
46%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
11%
76°F ou mais
3%
70-71°F 46%
72-73°F 32%
68-69°F 11%
74-75°F 11%
NOVO
NOVO
15 ago 2026
57°F ou menos
$15 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$5 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$20 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$81 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$157 Vol.
5%
66-67°F
$161 Vol.
4%
68-69°F
$73 Vol.
11%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
46%
72-73°F
$1 Vol.
32%
74-75°F
$139 Vol.
11%
76°F ou mais
$332 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance projects an overnight low near 69–72°F for New York City on August 15, consistent with typical late-summer minimums around 69°F at Central Park and the market’s concentration on 70–73°F bins. Persistent warmth aloft, elevated dew points, and limited cold-air advection under a subtropical ridge keep temperatures from falling further, while minor steering influences from potential southern systems introduce slight downward variability. Official resolution relies on the verified Central Park reading, where urban heat retention and measurement precision can shift the exact value within the leading ranges. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$985Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance projects an overnight low near 69–72°F for New York City on August 15, consistent with typical late-summer minimums around 69°F at Central Park and the market’s concentration on 70–73°F bins. Persistent warmth aloft, elevated dew points, and limited cold-air advection under a subtropical ridge keep temperatures from falling further, while minor steering influences from potential southern systems introduce slight downward variability. Official resolution relies on the verified Central Park reading, where urban heat retention and measurement precision can shift the exact value within the leading ranges. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$985Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance projects an overnight low near 69–72°F for New York City on August 15, consistent with typical late-summer minimums around 69°F at Central Park and the market’s concentration on 70–73°F bins. Persistent warmth aloft, elevated dew points, and limited cold-air advection under a subtropical ridge keep temperatures from falling further, while minor steering influences from potential southern systems introduce slight downward variability. Official resolution relies on the verified Central Park reading, where urban heat retention and measurement precision can shift the exact value within the leading ranges. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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