Persistent southwest monsoon flow and associated cloud cover over Metro Manila are moderating overnight radiative cooling, keeping the daily minimum temperature tightly clustered near 24–25°C according to multiple forecast models and PAGASA guidance. High humidity near 90% and frequent rain showers further limit temperature drops, while light-to-moderate southwesterly winds prevent strong inversions. Historical August climatology shows typical nighttime lows of 25–26°C, but the current active monsoon pattern has produced slightly cooler readings in recent days. With the market split almost evenly between 24°C and 25°C, traders are pricing the narrow margin of uncertainty arising from the precise timing and intensity of showers through the night.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Manila em 30 de agosto?
25°C 47%
23°C 2%
22°C 1.0%
21°C or below <1%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
48%
25°C
47%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 47%
23°C 2%
22°C 1.0%
21°C or below <1%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
48%
25°C
47%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon flow and associated cloud cover over Metro Manila are moderating overnight radiative cooling, keeping the daily minimum temperature tightly clustered near 24–25°C according to multiple forecast models and PAGASA guidance. High humidity near 90% and frequent rain showers further limit temperature drops, while light-to-moderate southwesterly winds prevent strong inversions. Historical August climatology shows typical nighttime lows of 25–26°C, but the current active monsoon pattern has produced slightly cooler readings in recent days. With the market split almost evenly between 24°C and 25°C, traders are pricing the narrow margin of uncertainty arising from the precise timing and intensity of showers through the night.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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