Recent official forecasts from agencies and models for Istanbul on August 23, 2026, indicate a minimum temperature of 20–21°C, aligning with the market's strong consensus around these levels. Clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight support typical radiative cooling without significant cold advection or cloud cover to moderate the drop. Istanbul's coastal location along the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara provides a moderating marine influence, keeping lows close to long-term August climatology of roughly 20–21°C rather than allowing deeper cooling. No major weather systems or anomalous pressure patterns have emerged in recent model runs to shift this outlook, leaving lower outcomes like 19°C or below as lower-probability tail risks if unexpected subsidence strengthens.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Istambul no dia 23 de agosto?
20°C 20%
19°C 19%
17°C 14%
18°C <1%
$1,647 Vol.
$1,647 Vol.
16°C or below
1%
17°C
14%
18°C
1%
19°C
19%
20°C
20%
21°C
61%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 20%
19°C 19%
17°C 14%
18°C <1%
$1,647 Vol.
$1,647 Vol.
16°C or below
1%
17°C
14%
18°C
1%
19°C
19%
20°C
20%
21°C
61%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies and models for Istanbul on August 23, 2026, indicate a minimum temperature of 20–21°C, aligning with the market's strong consensus around these levels. Clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight support typical radiative cooling without significant cold advection or cloud cover to moderate the drop. Istanbul's coastal location along the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara provides a moderating marine influence, keeping lows close to long-term August climatology of roughly 20–21°C rather than allowing deeper cooling. No major weather systems or anomalous pressure patterns have emerged in recent model runs to shift this outlook, leaving lower outcomes like 19°C or below as lower-probability tail risks if unexpected subsidence strengthens.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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