Persistent high pressure and clear skies over Houston are sustaining elevated overnight lows near 78–80°F on August 23, consistent with the market's leading 78–79°F outcome at 62% implied probability. A strong upper-level ridge has suppressed cooling and maintained southerly flow with high humidity, limiting radiative heat loss despite mostly clear conditions forecast by the National Weather Service. Recent observations show daily lows stuck in the upper 70s amid a broader heat wave with highs near 100°F. Historical August averages near 76°F provide context, yet the current pattern favors minimal overnight drops unless a subtle wind shift or increased cloud cover develops before dawn. Traders appear to weigh the ridge's persistence against any late-model revisions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Houston em 23 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Houston em 23 de agosto?
71°F ou menos 81%
72-73°F 64%
74-75°F 33%
76-77°F 33%
$1,557 Vol.
$1,557 Vol.
23 ago 2026
71°F ou menos
81%
72-73°F
64%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
62%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F ou mais
<1%
71°F ou menos 81%
72-73°F 64%
74-75°F 33%
76-77°F 33%
$1,557 Vol.
$1,557 Vol.
23 ago 2026
71°F ou menos
$10 Vol.
81%
72-73°F
$20 Vol.
64%
74-75°F
$3 Vol.
33%
76-77°F
$3 Vol.
33%
78-79°F
$48 Vol.
62%
80-81°F
$249 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$100 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$100 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$143 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$638 Vol.
<1%
90°F ou mais
$243 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and clear skies over Houston are sustaining elevated overnight lows near 78–80°F on August 23, consistent with the market's leading 78–79°F outcome at 62% implied probability. A strong upper-level ridge has suppressed cooling and maintained southerly flow with high humidity, limiting radiative heat loss despite mostly clear conditions forecast by the National Weather Service. Recent observations show daily lows stuck in the upper 70s amid a broader heat wave with highs near 100°F. Historical August averages near 76°F provide context, yet the current pattern favors minimal overnight drops unless a subtle wind shift or increased cloud cover develops before dawn. Traders appear to weigh the ridge's persistence against any late-model revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,557Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and clear skies over Houston are sustaining elevated overnight lows near 78–80°F on August 23, consistent with the market's leading 78–79°F outcome at 62% implied probability. A strong upper-level ridge has suppressed cooling and maintained southerly flow with high humidity, limiting radiative heat loss despite mostly clear conditions forecast by the National Weather Service. Recent observations show daily lows stuck in the upper 70s amid a broader heat wave with highs near 100°F. Historical August averages near 76°F provide context, yet the current pattern favors minimal overnight drops unless a subtle wind shift or increased cloud cover develops before dawn. Traders appear to weigh the ridge's persistence against any late-model revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,557Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and clear skies over Houston are sustaining elevated overnight lows near 78–80°F on August 23, consistent with the market's leading 78–79°F outcome at 62% implied probability. A strong upper-level ridge has suppressed cooling and maintained southerly flow with high humidity, limiting radiative heat loss despite mostly clear conditions forecast by the National Weather Service. Recent observations show daily lows stuck in the upper 70s amid a broader heat wave with highs near 100°F. Historical August averages near 76°F provide context, yet the current pattern favors minimal overnight drops unless a subtle wind shift or increased cloud cover develops before dawn. Traders appear to weigh the ridge's persistence against any late-model revisions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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