Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low near 64–66°F for Denver on August 24 under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s emphasis on that narrow band. Late-summer climatology favors gradual cooling from peak August averages near 64°F, yet persistent warm advection and limited radiational cooling under cloud cover support the elevated 74°F+ probability. Model consensus remains tight on the daily mean around 71°F, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded at official stations; any shift in steering patterns or moisture could widen the outcome range before the 24-hour observation window closes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Denver em 24 de agosto?
74°F ou mais 72%
64-65°F 37%
72-73°F 34%
55°F ou menos 30%
55°F ou menos
30%
56-57°F
19%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
28%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
34%
74°F ou mais
72%
74°F ou mais 72%
64-65°F 37%
72-73°F 34%
55°F ou menos 30%
55°F ou menos
30%
56-57°F
19%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
28%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
34%
74°F ou mais
72%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low near 64–66°F for Denver on August 24 under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s emphasis on that narrow band. Late-summer climatology favors gradual cooling from peak August averages near 64°F, yet persistent warm advection and limited radiational cooling under cloud cover support the elevated 74°F+ probability. Model consensus remains tight on the daily mean around 71°F, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded at official stations; any shift in steering patterns or moisture could widen the outcome range before the 24-hour observation window closes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions