Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and thunderstorms over Ankara on September 17, 2026, are moderating overnight cooling and creating tight uncertainty around the daily minimum. Official forecasts from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models show lows clustering near 13–14°C amid high humidity near 90–100% and light variable winds, with some runs dipping to 12°C or below under heavier rain bands. These conditions align with the market’s near-even implied probabilities for 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C outcomes, as small shifts in precipitation timing or intensity can alter the observed low by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines for Ankara average around 14–15°C, but the current unsettled pattern favors slightly cooler readings. Updated model runs and official station reports expected later in the day will likely refine trader positioning before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Ancara em 17 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Ancara em 17 de setembro?
11°C ou menos 93%
12°C 49%
14°C 49%
15°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
17 set 2026
11°C ou menos
93%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C
49%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C ou mais
<1%
11°C ou menos 93%
12°C 49%
14°C 49%
15°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
17 set 2026
11°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
93%
12°C
$0 Vol.
49%
13°C
$13 Vol.
49%
14°C
$0 Vol.
49%
15°C
$174 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$394 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$57 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$57 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
21°C ou mais
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and thunderstorms over Ankara on September 17, 2026, are moderating overnight cooling and creating tight uncertainty around the daily minimum. Official forecasts from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models show lows clustering near 13–14°C amid high humidity near 90–100% and light variable winds, with some runs dipping to 12°C or below under heavier rain bands. These conditions align with the market’s near-even implied probabilities for 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C outcomes, as small shifts in precipitation timing or intensity can alter the observed low by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines for Ankara average around 14–15°C, but the current unsettled pattern favors slightly cooler readings. Updated model runs and official station reports expected later in the day will likely refine trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$808Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and thunderstorms over Ankara on September 17, 2026, are moderating overnight cooling and creating tight uncertainty around the daily minimum. Official forecasts from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models show lows clustering near 13–14°C amid high humidity near 90–100% and light variable winds, with some runs dipping to 12°C or below under heavier rain bands. These conditions align with the market’s near-even implied probabilities for 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C outcomes, as small shifts in precipitation timing or intensity can alter the observed low by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines for Ankara average around 14–15°C, but the current unsettled pattern favors slightly cooler readings. Updated model runs and official station reports expected later in the day will likely refine trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$808Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and thunderstorms over Ankara on September 17, 2026, are moderating overnight cooling and creating tight uncertainty around the daily minimum. Official forecasts from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models show lows clustering near 13–14°C amid high humidity near 90–100% and light variable winds, with some runs dipping to 12°C or below under heavier rain bands. These conditions align with the market’s near-even implied probabilities for 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C outcomes, as small shifts in precipitation timing or intensity can alter the observed low by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines for Ankara average around 14–15°C, but the current unsettled pattern favors slightly cooler readings. Updated model runs and official station reports expected later in the day will likely refine trader positioning before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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