Forecast models including GFS runs indicate Amsterdam will experience clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds overnight on August 23, 2026, promoting radiative cooling that drives the minimum temperature to approximately 12°C. This aligns with climatological norms near 12.9°C for the date and matches observed station data showing early-morning readings around 12–13°C. The market-implied probability of 98% for 12°C reflects strong trader consensus on these stable high-pressure conditions and consistent model guidance. Unlikely shifts, such as increased cloud cover or a wind direction change advecting warmer maritime air, could push the low above 13°C, while stronger radiative losses under fully clear skies remain the primary route to an 11°C outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Amesterdão a 23 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Amesterdão a 23 de agosto?
12°C 98%
10°C 4.7%
11°C 3%
8°C or below <1%
$5,158 Vol.
$5,158 Vol.
23 ago 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
5%
11°C
3%
12°C
98%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C ou mais
<1%
12°C 98%
10°C 4.7%
11°C 3%
8°C or below <1%
$5,158 Vol.
$5,158 Vol.
23 ago 2026
8°C or below
$372 Vol.
1%
9°C
$382 Vol.
1%
10°C
$816 Vol.
5%
11°C
$393 Vol.
3%
12°C
$542 Vol.
98%
13°C
$397 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$586 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$530 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$449 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$322 Vol.
<1%
18°C ou mais
$367 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models including GFS runs indicate Amsterdam will experience clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds overnight on August 23, 2026, promoting radiative cooling that drives the minimum temperature to approximately 12°C. This aligns with climatological norms near 12.9°C for the date and matches observed station data showing early-morning readings around 12–13°C. The market-implied probability of 98% for 12°C reflects strong trader consensus on these stable high-pressure conditions and consistent model guidance. Unlikely shifts, such as increased cloud cover or a wind direction change advecting warmer maritime air, could push the low above 13°C, while stronger radiative losses under fully clear skies remain the primary route to an 11°C outcome.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$5,158Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models including GFS runs indicate Amsterdam will experience clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds overnight on August 23, 2026, promoting radiative cooling that drives the minimum temperature to approximately 12°C. This aligns with climatological norms near 12.9°C for the date and matches observed station data showing early-morning readings around 12–13°C. The market-implied probability of 98% for 12°C reflects strong trader consensus on these stable high-pressure conditions and consistent model guidance. Unlikely shifts, such as increased cloud cover or a wind direction change advecting warmer maritime air, could push the low above 13°C, while stronger radiative losses under fully clear skies remain the primary route to an 11°C outcome.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,158Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models including GFS runs indicate Amsterdam will experience clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds overnight on August 23, 2026, promoting radiative cooling that drives the minimum temperature to approximately 12°C. This aligns with climatological norms near 12.9°C for the date and matches observed station data showing early-morning readings around 12–13°C. The market-implied probability of 98% for 12°C reflects strong trader consensus on these stable high-pressure conditions and consistent model guidance. Unlikely shifts, such as increased cloud cover or a wind direction change advecting warmer maritime air, could push the low above 13°C, while stronger radiative losses under fully clear skies remain the primary route to an 11°C outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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