Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker's unopposed nomination and consistent polling advantage of roughly 20 points over Republican nominee Darren Bailey underpin the dominant trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory in the November 2026 Illinois governor election. Bailey secured the GOP nomination in the March primary with 53 percent against several challengers, setting up a rematch of the 2022 contest that Pritzker won decisively. Illinois's partisan lean, Pritzker's incumbency record, and limited movement in recent surveys have reinforced expectations of continued Democratic control. An independent candidate's potential ballot access adds minor uncertainty but has not shifted the overall positioning. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant third-party vote splitting, or sharp shifts in state economic conditions could still alter the outcome before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para governador de Illinois
Vencedor da eleição para governador de Illinois
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Democrata
96%
Republicano
6%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Democrata
$5,080 Vol.
96%
Republicano
$4,851 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker's unopposed nomination and consistent polling advantage of roughly 20 points over Republican nominee Darren Bailey underpin the dominant trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory in the November 2026 Illinois governor election. Bailey secured the GOP nomination in the March primary with 53 percent against several challengers, setting up a rematch of the 2022 contest that Pritzker won decisively. Illinois's partisan lean, Pritzker's incumbency record, and limited movement in recent surveys have reinforced expectations of continued Democratic control. An independent candidate's potential ballot access adds minor uncertainty but has not shifted the overall positioning. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant third-party vote splitting, or sharp shifts in state economic conditions could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$9,930Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker's unopposed nomination and consistent polling advantage of roughly 20 points over Republican nominee Darren Bailey underpin the dominant trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory in the November 2026 Illinois governor election. Bailey secured the GOP nomination in the March primary with 53 percent against several challengers, setting up a rematch of the 2022 contest that Pritzker won decisively. Illinois's partisan lean, Pritzker's incumbency record, and limited movement in recent surveys have reinforced expectations of continued Democratic control. An independent candidate's potential ballot access adds minor uncertainty but has not shifted the overall positioning. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant third-party vote splitting, or sharp shifts in state economic conditions could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$9,930Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker's unopposed nomination and consistent polling advantage of roughly 20 points over Republican nominee Darren Bailey underpin the dominant trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory in the November 2026 Illinois governor election. Bailey secured the GOP nomination in the March primary with 53 percent against several challengers, setting up a rematch of the 2022 contest that Pritzker won decisively. Illinois's partisan lean, Pritzker's incumbency record, and limited movement in recent surveys have reinforced expectations of continued Democratic control. An independent candidate's potential ballot access adds minor uncertainty but has not shifted the overall positioning. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant third-party vote splitting, or sharp shifts in state economic conditions could still alter the outcome before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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