Recent strength in the 10-year Treasury yield, trading near 4.97% as of mid-September 2026 and at multiyear highs, stems primarily from persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target and markets repricing the policy path toward tighter conditions. Elevated energy prices tied to geopolitical tensions have contributed to hotter-than-expected CPI prints, with core measures showing monthly gains above consensus and year-over-year readings around 2.4%. This has shifted fed funds futures to price roughly 70-85% odds of a 25 basis point hike at the September FOMC meeting, lifting both near-term rate expectations and the term premium. Traders are monitoring upcoming inflation releases and the central bank’s communications for signals on whether additional tightening follows into year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQuão alto será o rendimento do Tesouro a 10 anos antes de 2027?
Quão alto será o rendimento do Tesouro a 10 anos antes de 2027?
$385,133 Vol.
30 dez 2026
5,0%
92%
5,1%
62%
5,2%
33%
5,5%
9%
5,7%
9%
6,0%
3%
$385,133 Vol.
5,0%
$109,455 Vol.
92%
5,1%
$3,107 Vol.
62%
5,2%
$54,945 Vol.
33%
5,5%
$17,247 Vol.
9%
5,7%
$9,685 Vol.
9%
6,0%
$8,553 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent strength in the 10-year Treasury yield, trading near 4.97% as of mid-September 2026 and at multiyear highs, stems primarily from persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target and markets repricing the policy path toward tighter conditions. Elevated energy prices tied to geopolitical tensions have contributed to hotter-than-expected CPI prints, with core measures showing monthly gains above consensus and year-over-year readings around 2.4%. This has shifted fed funds futures to price roughly 70-85% odds of a 25 basis point hike at the September FOMC meeting, lifting both near-term rate expectations and the term premium. Traders are monitoring upcoming inflation releases and the central bank’s communications for signals on whether additional tightening follows into year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
Volume
$385,133Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 11:28 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent strength in the 10-year Treasury yield, trading near 4.97% as of mid-September 2026 and at multiyear highs, stems primarily from persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target and markets repricing the policy path toward tighter conditions. Elevated energy prices tied to geopolitical tensions have contributed to hotter-than-expected CPI prints, with core measures showing monthly gains above consensus and year-over-year readings around 2.4%. This has shifted fed funds futures to price roughly 70-85% odds of a 25 basis point hike at the September FOMC meeting, lifting both near-term rate expectations and the term premium. Traders are monitoring upcoming inflation releases and the central bank’s communications for signals on whether additional tightening follows into year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Volume
$385,133Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 11:28 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent strength in the 10-year Treasury yield, trading near 4.97% as of mid-September 2026 and at multiyear highs, stems primarily from persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target and markets repricing the policy path toward tighter conditions. Elevated energy prices tied to geopolitical tensions have contributed to hotter-than-expected CPI prints, with core measures showing monthly gains above consensus and year-over-year readings around 2.4%. This has shifted fed funds futures to price roughly 70-85% odds of a 25 basis point hike at the September FOMC meeting, lifting both near-term rate expectations and the term premium. Traders are monitoring upcoming inflation releases and the central bank’s communications for signals on whether additional tightening follows into year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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