**Northwesterly winds and spring warming are positioning 15–16°C as the most probable outcomes for Wellington’s maximum temperature on September 2.** Official MetService guidance forecasts a high of 15°C under fine conditions turning to scattered showers, with strong northwesterlies developing that can advect milder air while also enhancing mixing and limiting peak warmth. Complementary model runs from sources such as the UK Met Office align closely at 15°C, consistent with early-spring climatology where daily maxima in Wellington typically range 13–16°C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 16°C (64.5%) over 15°C (19%), likely incorporating uncertainty around exact station readings, minor forecast revisions, or brief clearer intervals allowing slightly higher values. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by 9 a.m. the following day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington no dia 2 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington no dia 2 de setembro?
16°C 65%
15°C 19%
17°C 13%
18°C 4%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
19%
16°C
65%
17°C
13%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 65%
15°C 19%
17°C 13%
18°C 4%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
10°C or below
$295 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$313 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$397 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$258 Vol.
1%
14°C
$285 Vol.
2%
15°C
$1,853 Vol.
19%
16°C
$605 Vol.
65%
17°C
$311 Vol.
13%
18°C
$111 Vol.
4%
19°C
$227 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$222 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northwesterly winds and spring warming are positioning 15–16°C as the most probable outcomes for Wellington’s maximum temperature on September 2.** Official MetService guidance forecasts a high of 15°C under fine conditions turning to scattered showers, with strong northwesterlies developing that can advect milder air while also enhancing mixing and limiting peak warmth. Complementary model runs from sources such as the UK Met Office align closely at 15°C, consistent with early-spring climatology where daily maxima in Wellington typically range 13–16°C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 16°C (64.5%) over 15°C (19%), likely incorporating uncertainty around exact station readings, minor forecast revisions, or brief clearer intervals allowing slightly higher values. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by 9 a.m. the following day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,878Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northwesterly winds and spring warming are positioning 15–16°C as the most probable outcomes for Wellington’s maximum temperature on September 2.** Official MetService guidance forecasts a high of 15°C under fine conditions turning to scattered showers, with strong northwesterlies developing that can advect milder air while also enhancing mixing and limiting peak warmth. Complementary model runs from sources such as the UK Met Office align closely at 15°C, consistent with early-spring climatology where daily maxima in Wellington typically range 13–16°C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 16°C (64.5%) over 15°C (19%), likely incorporating uncertainty around exact station readings, minor forecast revisions, or brief clearer intervals allowing slightly higher values. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by 9 a.m. the following day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,878Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Northwesterly winds and spring warming are positioning 15–16°C as the most probable outcomes for Wellington’s maximum temperature on September 2.** Official MetService guidance forecasts a high of 15°C under fine conditions turning to scattered showers, with strong northwesterlies developing that can advect milder air while also enhancing mixing and limiting peak warmth. Complementary model runs from sources such as the UK Met Office align closely at 15°C, consistent with early-spring climatology where daily maxima in Wellington typically range 13–16°C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 16°C (64.5%) over 15°C (19%), likely incorporating uncertainty around exact station readings, minor forecast revisions, or brief clearer intervals allowing slightly higher values. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by 9 a.m. the following day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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