Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover associated with a slow-moving frontal system are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on September 21, keeping maximum temperatures centered on the 24–26°C range according to the latest model consensus. Northeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h, combined with near-100% humidity and heavy precipitation totals exceeding 80 mm in some guidance, further limit solar insolation and vertical mixing. This setup favors the market's leading 25°C and 26°C outcomes while leaving room for minor upward or downward revisions depending on the exact timing of heaviest rain bands and any model shifts in steering flow. Historical September baselines near 26°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern deviates toward cooler, wetter conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 21 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 21 de setembro?
25°C 37%
24°C 23%
26°C 22%
23°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
20°C ou menos
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
14%
24°C
23%
25°C
31%
26°C
22%
27°C
12%
28°C
7%
29°C
4%
30°C ou mais
4%
25°C 37%
24°C 23%
26°C 22%
23°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
20°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$100 Vol.
3%
22°C
$7 Vol.
5%
23°C
$50 Vol.
14%
24°C
$122 Vol.
23%
25°C
$37 Vol.
31%
26°C
$0 Vol.
22%
27°C
$12 Vol.
12%
28°C
$12 Vol.
7%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C ou mais
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover associated with a slow-moving frontal system are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on September 21, keeping maximum temperatures centered on the 24–26°C range according to the latest model consensus. Northeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h, combined with near-100% humidity and heavy precipitation totals exceeding 80 mm in some guidance, further limit solar insolation and vertical mixing. This setup favors the market's leading 25°C and 26°C outcomes while leaving room for minor upward or downward revisions depending on the exact timing of heaviest rain bands and any model shifts in steering flow. Historical September baselines near 26°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern deviates toward cooler, wetter conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$346Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover associated with a slow-moving frontal system are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on September 21, keeping maximum temperatures centered on the 24–26°C range according to the latest model consensus. Northeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h, combined with near-100% humidity and heavy precipitation totals exceeding 80 mm in some guidance, further limit solar insolation and vertical mixing. This setup favors the market's leading 25°C and 26°C outcomes while leaving room for minor upward or downward revisions depending on the exact timing of heaviest rain bands and any model shifts in steering flow. Historical September baselines near 26°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern deviates toward cooler, wetter conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$346Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover associated with a slow-moving frontal system are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on September 21, keeping maximum temperatures centered on the 24–26°C range according to the latest model consensus. Northeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h, combined with near-100% humidity and heavy precipitation totals exceeding 80 mm in some guidance, further limit solar insolation and vertical mixing. This setup favors the market's leading 25°C and 26°C outcomes while leaving room for minor upward or downward revisions depending on the exact timing of heaviest rain bands and any model shifts in steering flow. Historical September baselines near 26°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern deviates toward cooler, wetter conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions