Recent meteorological model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates a maximum temperature in Qingdao on August 21 likely near 28–30°C, supporting the market-implied odds where 29°C holds a narrow lead at 32% and 30°C follows at 28.5%. Coastal marine moderation from the Yellow Sea, combined with expected light rain and increased cloud cover, limits daytime heating compared to inland areas, while typical late-summer monsoon patterns maintain humidity and suppress extremes. Forecast uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in steering winds or convective development, with updated model runs and official briefings expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Qingdao em 21 de agosto?
29°C 34%
30°C 27%
28°C 20%
31°C 14%
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
20%
29°C
34%
30°C
27%
31°C
14%
32°C
7%
33°C
5%
34°C ou mais
1%
29°C 34%
30°C 27%
28°C 20%
31°C 14%
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
20%
29°C
34%
30°C
27%
31°C
14%
32°C
7%
33°C
5%
34°C ou mais
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates a maximum temperature in Qingdao on August 21 likely near 28–30°C, supporting the market-implied odds where 29°C holds a narrow lead at 32% and 30°C follows at 28.5%. Coastal marine moderation from the Yellow Sea, combined with expected light rain and increased cloud cover, limits daytime heating compared to inland areas, while typical late-summer monsoon patterns maintain humidity and suppress extremes. Forecast uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in steering winds or convective development, with updated model runs and official briefings expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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