Recent European heat dome dynamics, with a high-pressure ridge driving peak temperatures near 38°C midweek, are shifting into a cooldown pattern that positions trader sentiment around 29–30°C for Paris on August 16. Ensemble forecasts from major models show moderating southerly flow, increased cloud cover, and possible Atlantic influence moderating maximums after the Thursday–Friday apex, consistent with historical analogs of post-heatwave relief in the Île-de-France region. Météo-France guidance and updated runs through the weekend will refine exact thresholds, as small differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of the ridge breakdown determine whether readings settle at or above 30°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty in short-range guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 16 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 16 de agosto?
30°C 41%
29°C 34%
28°C 13%
31°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
16 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
13%
29°C
34%
30°C
41%
31°C
13%
32°C
5%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 41%
29°C 34%
28°C 13%
31°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
16 ago 2026
25°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$14 Vol.
1%
27°C
$10 Vol.
3%
28°C
$90 Vol.
13%
29°C
$152 Vol.
34%
30°C
$152 Vol.
41%
31°C
$6 Vol.
13%
32°C
$31 Vol.
5%
33°C
$10 Vol.
3%
34°C
$5 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European heat dome dynamics, with a high-pressure ridge driving peak temperatures near 38°C midweek, are shifting into a cooldown pattern that positions trader sentiment around 29–30°C for Paris on August 16. Ensemble forecasts from major models show moderating southerly flow, increased cloud cover, and possible Atlantic influence moderating maximums after the Thursday–Friday apex, consistent with historical analogs of post-heatwave relief in the Île-de-France region. Météo-France guidance and updated runs through the weekend will refine exact thresholds, as small differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of the ridge breakdown determine whether readings settle at or above 30°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty in short-range guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$480Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European heat dome dynamics, with a high-pressure ridge driving peak temperatures near 38°C midweek, are shifting into a cooldown pattern that positions trader sentiment around 29–30°C for Paris on August 16. Ensemble forecasts from major models show moderating southerly flow, increased cloud cover, and possible Atlantic influence moderating maximums after the Thursday–Friday apex, consistent with historical analogs of post-heatwave relief in the Île-de-France region. Météo-France guidance and updated runs through the weekend will refine exact thresholds, as small differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of the ridge breakdown determine whether readings settle at or above 30°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty in short-range guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$480Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European heat dome dynamics, with a high-pressure ridge driving peak temperatures near 38°C midweek, are shifting into a cooldown pattern that positions trader sentiment around 29–30°C for Paris on August 16. Ensemble forecasts from major models show moderating southerly flow, increased cloud cover, and possible Atlantic influence moderating maximums after the Thursday–Friday apex, consistent with historical analogs of post-heatwave relief in the Île-de-France region. Météo-France guidance and updated runs through the weekend will refine exact thresholds, as small differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of the ridge breakdown determine whether readings settle at or above 30°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty in short-range guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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