Current ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS drive the market's tight clustering around 26–28°C, with 27°C holding the highest implied probability at 38%. Late-August conditions in the Po Valley typically feature high pressure favoring clear skies and moderate warming, though small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or weak southerly advection can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Recent runs show limited spread without strong heat advection or frontal passages, consistent with climatological highs near 28°C and the absence of extreme signals seen earlier in August. Traders weigh these subtle thermodynamic and dynamic variables ahead of final observational data on August 25.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 25 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 25 de agosto?
27°C 37%
26°C 28%
28°C 26%
29°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
25 ago 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
28%
27°C
37%
28°C
26%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
3%
27°C 37%
26°C 28%
28°C 26%
29°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
25 ago 2026
20°C or below
$12 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$5 Vol.
2%
24°C
$5 Vol.
2%
25°C
$187 Vol.
8%
26°C
$140 Vol.
28%
27°C
$44 Vol.
37%
28°C
$10 Vol.
26%
29°C
$17 Vol.
11%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS drive the market's tight clustering around 26–28°C, with 27°C holding the highest implied probability at 38%. Late-August conditions in the Po Valley typically feature high pressure favoring clear skies and moderate warming, though small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or weak southerly advection can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Recent runs show limited spread without strong heat advection or frontal passages, consistent with climatological highs near 28°C and the absence of extreme signals seen earlier in August. Traders weigh these subtle thermodynamic and dynamic variables ahead of final observational data on August 25.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$420Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS drive the market's tight clustering around 26–28°C, with 27°C holding the highest implied probability at 38%. Late-August conditions in the Po Valley typically feature high pressure favoring clear skies and moderate warming, though small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or weak southerly advection can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Recent runs show limited spread without strong heat advection or frontal passages, consistent with climatological highs near 28°C and the absence of extreme signals seen earlier in August. Traders weigh these subtle thermodynamic and dynamic variables ahead of final observational data on August 25.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$420Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS drive the market's tight clustering around 26–28°C, with 27°C holding the highest implied probability at 38%. Late-August conditions in the Po Valley typically feature high pressure favoring clear skies and moderate warming, though small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or weak southerly advection can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Recent runs show limited spread without strong heat advection or frontal passages, consistent with climatological highs near 28°C and the absence of extreme signals seen earlier in August. Traders weigh these subtle thermodynamic and dynamic variables ahead of final observational data on August 25.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions