Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport, the official resolution station, point to an afternoon high near 76–78°F on August 12 amid a post-heat-wave cooling trend driven by strengthening onshore flow and a deeper marine layer. This setup suppresses maximum temperatures 4–8°F below August climatological averages of 84–85°F by advecting cooler Pacific air and increasing low-level cloud cover that limits solar heating. Model consensus favors this modest range over hotter bins, explaining the combined 89.5% implied probability on the 76–79°F outcomes as traders incorporate the latest guidance showing gradual daily declines of 2–5°F through midweek.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Los Angeles em 12 de agosto?
76-77°F 59%
78-79°F 32%
74-75°F 9%
80-81°F 1.0%
$33,566 Vol.
$33,566 Vol.
67°F ou menos
<1%
20-21°C
<1%
21-22°C
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
59%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F ou mais
<1%
76-77°F 59%
78-79°F 32%
74-75°F 9%
80-81°F 1.0%
$33,566 Vol.
$33,566 Vol.
67°F ou menos
<1%
20-21°C
<1%
21-22°C
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
59%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F ou mais
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport, the official resolution station, point to an afternoon high near 76–78°F on August 12 amid a post-heat-wave cooling trend driven by strengthening onshore flow and a deeper marine layer. This setup suppresses maximum temperatures 4–8°F below August climatological averages of 84–85°F by advecting cooler Pacific air and increasing low-level cloud cover that limits solar heating. Model consensus favors this modest range over hotter bins, explaining the combined 89.5% implied probability on the 76–79°F outcomes as traders incorporate the latest guidance showing gradual daily declines of 2–5°F through midweek.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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