Short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory highlight uncertainty in peak daytime heating on August 9, with models converging on 34–36°C amid subsiding air from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin over the East China Sea. This setup favors clear skies and minimal cloud cover that can push maxima higher, though isolated thunderstorms may cap extremes. The market’s tight spread between 35°C and 36°C reflects model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns. Seasonal guidance indicates normal to above-normal temperatures overall, consistent with the long-term warming trend that has raised Hong Kong’s summer baseline. Updated HKO bulletins and ensemble runs through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 9 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 9 de agosto?
35°C 38%
36°C 31%
37°C 18%
34°C 13%
NOVO
$12,836 Vol.
NOVO
$12,836 Vol.
9 ago 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
13%
35°C
38%
36°C
31%
37°C
18%
38°C
4%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 38%
36°C 31%
37°C 18%
34°C 13%
NOVO
$12,836 Vol.
NOVO
$12,836 Vol.
9 ago 2026
31°C or below
$851 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,390 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,012 Vol.
4%
34°C
$1,272 Vol.
13%
35°C
$2,048 Vol.
38%
36°C
$1,248 Vol.
31%
37°C
$1,216 Vol.
18%
38°C
$1,615 Vol.
4%
39°C
$413 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$390 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory highlight uncertainty in peak daytime heating on August 9, with models converging on 34–36°C amid subsiding air from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin over the East China Sea. This setup favors clear skies and minimal cloud cover that can push maxima higher, though isolated thunderstorms may cap extremes. The market’s tight spread between 35°C and 36°C reflects model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns. Seasonal guidance indicates normal to above-normal temperatures overall, consistent with the long-term warming trend that has raised Hong Kong’s summer baseline. Updated HKO bulletins and ensemble runs through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$12,836Data de Término
9 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory highlight uncertainty in peak daytime heating on August 9, with models converging on 34–36°C amid subsiding air from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin over the East China Sea. This setup favors clear skies and minimal cloud cover that can push maxima higher, though isolated thunderstorms may cap extremes. The market’s tight spread between 35°C and 36°C reflects model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns. Seasonal guidance indicates normal to above-normal temperatures overall, consistent with the long-term warming trend that has raised Hong Kong’s summer baseline. Updated HKO bulletins and ensemble runs through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,836Data de Término
9 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory highlight uncertainty in peak daytime heating on August 9, with models converging on 34–36°C amid subsiding air from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin over the East China Sea. This setup favors clear skies and minimal cloud cover that can push maxima higher, though isolated thunderstorms may cap extremes. The market’s tight spread between 35°C and 36°C reflects model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns. Seasonal guidance indicates normal to above-normal temperatures overall, consistent with the long-term warming trend that has raised Hong Kong’s summer baseline. Updated HKO bulletins and ensemble runs through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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