Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and AEMET place Madrid’s August 7 maximum near 37–39 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and allows strong daytime heating. The near-even split between 38 °C and 39 °C market-implied odds reflects small differences across model runs in afternoon boundary-layer temperature and local urban-heat-island effects. Historical August maxima average 32–33 °C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly driven by the ongoing Iberian heat episode. Final resolution hinges on the 24-hour observational record from Retiro or Barajas, with any late-model shift or unexpected cloud cover capable of tipping the outcome between the two leading bins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Madrid a 7 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 7 de agosto?
39°C 50%
38°C 46%
37°C 6%
40°C 3%
NOVO
$13,970 Vol.
NOVO
$13,970 Vol.
7 ago 2026
35°C or below
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
6%
38°C
46%
39°C
50%
40°C
3%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
39°C 50%
38°C 46%
37°C 6%
40°C 3%
NOVO
$13,970 Vol.
NOVO
$13,970 Vol.
7 ago 2026
35°C or below
$635 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$528 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$2,434 Vol.
6%
38°C
$3,693 Vol.
46%
39°C
$3,617 Vol.
50%
40°C
$872 Vol.
3%
41°C
$661 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$481 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$410 Vol.
<1%
44°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
45°C or higher
$397 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and AEMET place Madrid’s August 7 maximum near 37–39 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and allows strong daytime heating. The near-even split between 38 °C and 39 °C market-implied odds reflects small differences across model runs in afternoon boundary-layer temperature and local urban-heat-island effects. Historical August maxima average 32–33 °C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly driven by the ongoing Iberian heat episode. Final resolution hinges on the 24-hour observational record from Retiro or Barajas, with any late-model shift or unexpected cloud cover capable of tipping the outcome between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$13,970Data de Término
7 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and AEMET place Madrid’s August 7 maximum near 37–39 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and allows strong daytime heating. The near-even split between 38 °C and 39 °C market-implied odds reflects small differences across model runs in afternoon boundary-layer temperature and local urban-heat-island effects. Historical August maxima average 32–33 °C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly driven by the ongoing Iberian heat episode. Final resolution hinges on the 24-hour observational record from Retiro or Barajas, with any late-model shift or unexpected cloud cover capable of tipping the outcome between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,970Data de Término
7 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and AEMET place Madrid’s August 7 maximum near 37–39 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and allows strong daytime heating. The near-even split between 38 °C and 39 °C market-implied odds reflects small differences across model runs in afternoon boundary-layer temperature and local urban-heat-island effects. Historical August maxima average 32–33 °C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly driven by the ongoing Iberian heat episode. Final resolution hinges on the 24-hour observational record from Retiro or Barajas, with any late-model shift or unexpected cloud cover capable of tipping the outcome between the two leading bins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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