National Weather Service guidance for Austin centers on a 105–106°F high amid persistent high pressure and clear skies, with light southerly flow limiting mixing and allowing strong daytime insolation. This setup, part of a broader Central Texas heat wave featuring multiple days above 100°F, explains the tight 43.5–47% market split between the 104–105°F and 106–107°F brackets. Afternoon moisture or isolated clouds could modestly suppress the peak, while model variations in boundary-layer heating account for the modest probability on 107°F and higher outcomes. Official Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry observations will determine resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 23 de agosto?
106-107°F 47%
104-105°F 44%
108-109°F 4.3%
102-103°F 3%
$18,888 Vol.
$18,888 Vol.
95°F ou menos
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
44%
106-107°F
47%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F ou mais
<1%
106-107°F 47%
104-105°F 44%
108-109°F 4.3%
102-103°F 3%
$18,888 Vol.
$18,888 Vol.
95°F ou menos
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
44%
106-107°F
47%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance for Austin centers on a 105–106°F high amid persistent high pressure and clear skies, with light southerly flow limiting mixing and allowing strong daytime insolation. This setup, part of a broader Central Texas heat wave featuring multiple days above 100°F, explains the tight 43.5–47% market split between the 104–105°F and 106–107°F brackets. Afternoon moisture or isolated clouds could modestly suppress the peak, while model variations in boundary-layer heating account for the modest probability on 107°F and higher outcomes. Official Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry observations will determine resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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Cuidado com os links externos.
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