Current ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF, combined with high-pressure dominance and partly cloudy skies over central Anatolia, position Ankara’s September 21 maximum near 25–26°C as the most probable outcome. Light westerly winds and typical late-summer insolation support gradual daytime heating, while modest model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture creates the narrow gap between 24°C and 27°C probabilities. Historical September averages near 26–27°C provide context, yet the short lead time means the next 48-hour model runs and Turkish State Meteorological Service observations will determine whether subtle advection or clearer skies push the peak higher or lower. Traders weigh these variables against resolution criteria of the official daily maximum reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Ancara em 21 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Ancara em 21 de setembro?
25°C 44%
26°C 42%
24°C 18%
27°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
21°C ou menos
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
9%
24°C
18%
25°C
34%
26°C
42%
27°C
11%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C ou mais
<1%
25°C 44%
26°C 42%
24°C 18%
27°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
21°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
3%
22°C
$57 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
9%
24°C
$7 Vol.
18%
25°C
$10 Vol.
34%
26°C
$197 Vol.
42%
27°C
$33 Vol.
11%
28°C
$0 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C ou mais
$30 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF, combined with high-pressure dominance and partly cloudy skies over central Anatolia, position Ankara’s September 21 maximum near 25–26°C as the most probable outcome. Light westerly winds and typical late-summer insolation support gradual daytime heating, while modest model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture creates the narrow gap between 24°C and 27°C probabilities. Historical September averages near 26–27°C provide context, yet the short lead time means the next 48-hour model runs and Turkish State Meteorological Service observations will determine whether subtle advection or clearer skies push the peak higher or lower. Traders weigh these variables against resolution criteria of the official daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$335Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF, combined with high-pressure dominance and partly cloudy skies over central Anatolia, position Ankara’s September 21 maximum near 25–26°C as the most probable outcome. Light westerly winds and typical late-summer insolation support gradual daytime heating, while modest model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture creates the narrow gap between 24°C and 27°C probabilities. Historical September averages near 26–27°C provide context, yet the short lead time means the next 48-hour model runs and Turkish State Meteorological Service observations will determine whether subtle advection or clearer skies push the peak higher or lower. Traders weigh these variables against resolution criteria of the official daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$335Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF, combined with high-pressure dominance and partly cloudy skies over central Anatolia, position Ankara’s September 21 maximum near 25–26°C as the most probable outcome. Light westerly winds and typical late-summer insolation support gradual daytime heating, while modest model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture creates the narrow gap between 24°C and 27°C probabilities. Historical September averages near 26–27°C provide context, yet the short lead time means the next 48-hour model runs and Turkish State Meteorological Service observations will determine whether subtle advection or clearer skies push the peak higher or lower. Traders weigh these variables against resolution criteria of the official daily maximum reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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