Official forecasts from Turkey’s Meteorological General Directorate and converging international models show Ankara reaching a daytime maximum of 35 °C on August 23 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and low humidity near 15–25 %. Afternoon observations confirm temperatures climbing to 34–35 °C without evidence of further intensification. This strong observational and model consensus underpins the 99.6 % market-implied probability for exactly 35 °C. Only a late-day surge from unforecast subsidence or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically push readings to 36 °C or higher, while increased cloud cover or measurement timing differences remain the main, albeit low-probability, paths to a lower outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Ancara em 23 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Ancara em 23 de agosto?
35°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$22,742 Vol.
$22,742 Vol.
23 ago 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$22,742 Vol.
$22,742 Vol.
23 ago 2026
30°C or below
$157 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$524 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$958 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,976 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$5,894 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$6,844 Vol.
100%
36°C
$2,932 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$2,479 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$278 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$175 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$525 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Turkey’s Meteorological General Directorate and converging international models show Ankara reaching a daytime maximum of 35 °C on August 23 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and low humidity near 15–25 %. Afternoon observations confirm temperatures climbing to 34–35 °C without evidence of further intensification. This strong observational and model consensus underpins the 99.6 % market-implied probability for exactly 35 °C. Only a late-day surge from unforecast subsidence or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically push readings to 36 °C or higher, while increased cloud cover or measurement timing differences remain the main, albeit low-probability, paths to a lower outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$22,742Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Turkey’s Meteorological General Directorate and converging international models show Ankara reaching a daytime maximum of 35 °C on August 23 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and low humidity near 15–25 %. Afternoon observations confirm temperatures climbing to 34–35 °C without evidence of further intensification. This strong observational and model consensus underpins the 99.6 % market-implied probability for exactly 35 °C. Only a late-day surge from unforecast subsidence or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically push readings to 36 °C or higher, while increased cloud cover or measurement timing differences remain the main, albeit low-probability, paths to a lower outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,742Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Turkey’s Meteorological General Directorate and converging international models show Ankara reaching a daytime maximum of 35 °C on August 23 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and low humidity near 15–25 %. Afternoon observations confirm temperatures climbing to 34–35 °C without evidence of further intensification. This strong observational and model consensus underpins the 99.6 % market-implied probability for exactly 35 °C. Only a late-day surge from unforecast subsidence or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically push readings to 36 °C or higher, while increased cloud cover or measurement timing differences remain the main, albeit low-probability, paths to a lower outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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